US Election BUMPER Extra: Prediction, Rallies, Polls, & Final Days' News
Table of Contents 📖
"Trump in the McDonald's outfit. Trump in the garbage truck. Garbage should have been put in the back of the truck. He's in the front of the truck. It's sort of shark jumping."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:16⏩
Jonathan introduces the US Election special, noting its proximity to the election date.
Return to top⤴️
Trump's Inappropriate Rally Behaviour
🎦 00:16-02:29⏩
Jonathan starts by criticizing Trump's inappropriate behaviour at a rally, where he simulated a sex act on a microphone. He highlights the double standards that would have applied had Obama or Biden done something similar. He also discusses Trump's denial of climate change, focusing on his statement that "the biggest warming problem we have is nuclear warming."
Return to top⤴️
Jill Stein's Candidacy and Allegations of Putin Ties
🎦 02:29-05:32⏩
Jonathan critiques third-party candidate Jill Stein, arguing she is a "useful idiot" for both Trump and Putin. He cites her reluctance to call Putin a war criminal and a statement from 16 European Green parties denouncing Stein as a "Putin shill." He urges viewers concerned about the environment to vote for neither Stein nor Trump.
Return to top⤴️
Epstein Tapes Reveal Close Relationship with Trump
🎦 05:32-07:05⏩
Jonathan discusses the release of 100 hours of Epstein tapes by the Daily Beast, detailing his relationship with Trump. He mentions a book alleging a closer relationship than previously thought, with pictures of Trump with Epstein and models. Jonathan doubts this "October surprise" will significantly impact the election.
Return to top⤴️
Twitter's Algorithmic Bias and Election Interference
🎦 07:05-08:37⏩
Jonathan criticizes Elon Musk's Twitter for allegedly suppressing left-wing accounts and amplifying right-wing disinformation at a 2:1 ratio, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. He questions whether this constitutes election interference, comparing it to Fox News' disinformation practices, which resulted in a $788 million payout for election lies.
Return to top⤴️
Trump's "Enemy Within" Rhetoric and Liz Cheney's Response
🎦 08:37-13:38⏩
Jonathan examines Trump's rhetoric about the "enemy within," initially focusing on a CNN interview with J.D. Vance. He criticizes Vance's attempts to distort Trump's meaning, which Trump himself contradicts by explicitly identifying the "enemy within" as the Democratic Party and the press. Jonathan highlights Liz Cheney's response, who calls out Vance's "unbelievable contortions" to defend Trump, whom Vance himself previously labeled "America's Hitler."
Return to top⤴️
Trump's Threat Towards Liz Cheney and Republican Projection
🎦 13:38-15:16⏩
Jonathan condemns Trump's statement about putting Liz Cheney in front of a firing squad, made during an interview with Tucker Carlson. He criticizes Republicans for accusing Democrats of using divisive language while simultaneously employing incendiary rhetoric.
Return to top⤴️
Legal Cases Against Trump Allies
🎦 15:16-16:43⏩
Jonathan discusses multiple legal cases against Trump allies:
- A court case against Elon Musk for owing $1 million.
- The conviction of Kimberly Zapata, a MAGA Wisconsin Election Commission Director, for falsifying military ballots.
- Kenneth Chesebro, a former Trump lawyer, being suspended from practicing law in New York after pleading guilty in Georgia's election interference case.
- Sidney Powell also flipping and pleading guilty in Georgia.
Jonathan denounces the projection of Republicans accusing Democrats of cheating, highlighting the guilty pleas of Trump's associates as evidence to the contrary.
Return to top⤴️
Trump's Financial Troubles and Unpaid Debts
🎦 16:43-18:11⏩
Jonathan reveals CNN's reporting on Trump's nearly $2 billion debt, partly stemming from the New York case. He suggests this explains the merging of Trump's campaign with the Republican National Committee, allowing campaign funds to be diverted to legal fees. He then cites Albuquerque, New Mexico's refusal to host a Trump event due to $445,000 in unpaid bills from past events, forcing the rally to be moved to an airport tarmac.
Return to top⤴️
US Economy Under Biden Outperforms Competitors
🎦 18:11-19:31⏩
Jonathan highlights the strong performance of the US economy under Biden, using historical data to show its growth surpassing other major economies. He cites the IMF's projections for continued acceleration of US growth and questions why voters would want to change the current administration's economic policies.
Return to top⤴️
Contrasting Economic Visions: Biden vs Trump
🎦 19:31-22:14⏩
Jonathan compares the economic visions of Biden and Trump, highlighting the Wall Street Journal's acknowledgement of the "remarkable economy" inherited by the next president. He contrasts this with Trump's claim of a "fake economy" and his plans to implement tariffs of 100%, 200%, or even 300% without concern for the impact on US businesses and consumers. He quotes former American Airlines CEO Doug Parker, who states that CEOs he knows will not vote for Trump due to the danger he poses to the economy. Jonathan emphasizes Trump's lack of understanding of how tariffs work, stressing that they ultimately act as a tax on American consumers.
Return to top⤴️
Trump Found Liable for Sexual Abuse
🎦 22:14-23:12⏩
Jonathan briefly addresses the Washington Post's clarification that Trump was indeed found liable for raping E. Jean Carroll, despite Republicans' attempts to downplay the situation.
Return to top⤴️
Mike Johnson's "Secret" Healthcare Plan and Repealing Obamacare
🎦 23:12-28:08⏩
Jonathan delves into Mike Johnson's, the Speaker of the House, vague statements about a "secret" healthcare reform plan. He connects this to Project 2025, a blueprint for the first 100 days of a Trump administration, which includes dismantling Obamacare and promoting profit-driven healthcare. Jonathan criticizes the plan for prioritizing profit over morality in healthcare.
Return to top⤴️
Media Focus on Biden's Gaffe Over Healthcare Reform
🎦 28:08-29:57⏩
Jonathan criticizes media outlets like The Washington Post and New York Times for focusing on Biden's gaffe about garbage while downplaying Johnson's statement about repealing the ACA. He points out the hypocrisy of Republicans feigning outrage over Biden's comment while ignoring Trump officials' more inflammatory rhetoric. He also raises concerns about RFK Jr., a vaccine conspiracy theorist, potentially being put in charge of healthcare.
Return to top⤴️
Trump's History of Promises to Repeal and Replace Obamacare
🎦 29:57-32:55⏩
Jonathan shows a montage from Jimmy Kimmel highlighting Trump's repeated promises to repeal and replace Obamacare since 2016, despite never delivering a viable plan. He emphasizes that Trump now claims to have never considered repealing the ACA, contradicting his previous statements and Project 2025.
Return to top⤴️
Mike Johnson and Trump's Plan to Repeal the CHIPS Act
🎦 32:55-35:26⏩
Jonathan reveals Mike Johnson's admission that a Republican-led Congress and Trump White House would likely repeal the CHIPS Act, despite its role in bolstering the US economy. He explains the CHIPS Act's impact on domestic semiconductor research and manufacturing, criticizing attempts to repeal it as "economic suicide." He compares this to Trump's previous attempts to repeal Obama-era policies, highlighting the lack of viable alternatives and the benefits of those policies for the US economy.
Return to top⤴️
Polls, Republican Funding, and Potential Skewing
🎦 35:26-41:43⏩
Jonathan transitions to discussing the polls and their potential inaccuracy. He points out a significant disparity in the number of Republican-funded polls compared to Democrat-funded polls, raising the possibility of skewed averages. He cites a Nate Cohen article explaining how pollsters, fearing a third consecutive inaccurate prediction, may be undercounting Harris to avoid appearing biased. Jonathan highlights the paradox of numerous Republicans endorsing Harris while polls remain close, questioning either the polls' accuracy or the existence of an unknown factor.
Return to top⤴️
Rally Comparisons: Trump vs Harris
🎦 41:43-46:20⏩
Jonathan compares the rallies of Trump and Harris, highlighting the stark differences in attendance and messaging. He shows images of sparsely attended Trump rallies, contrasting them with Harris's well-attended rally at the Ellipse in Washington, which drew 75,000 people. He praises Harris's effective staging and concise messaging but acknowledges its limited reach compared to viral content.
Return to top⤴️
Gracie Abrams Rally and Gen Z Voters
🎦 46:20-48:05⏩
Jonathan discusses the impact of celebrities on the election, highlighting Gracie Abrams's rally targeting young voters and a Coachella crowd chanting "F*ck Donald Trump." He emphasizes the importance of engaging young people in politics and contrasts these events with Trump's rallies, suggesting a disparity between polls and actual voter sentiment.
Return to top⤴️
Latino Electorate Shift and J-Lo's Endorsement
🎦 48:05-53:13⏩
Jonathan discusses a potential shift in the Latino electorate, citing endorsements for Harris from Puerto Rican celebrities like J-Lo, Ricky Martin, and Marc Anthony, as well as El Nuevo Dia, Puerto Rico's largest newspaper. He highlights a poll showing a 52% swing towards Harris among Puerto Rican voters in Florida and speculates on the impact this could have on the wider Latino vote. He criticizes those dismissing these endorsements as paid endorsements, arguing that J-Lo, in particular, would be alienating half her audience for financial gain.
Return to top⤴️
Trump's Self-Serving Motives and Prediction for Election Outcome
🎦 53:13-01:07:41⏩
Jonathan plays a clip of Trump stating his reason for holding a rally in New Mexico is to bolster his credentials with the Hispanic community. He criticizes Trump's self-serving motives, comparing him to someone using their dying mother for inheritance. Jonathan then shares his prediction for the election outcome, suggesting a range from a toss-up to a comfortable Harris victory, based on his analysis of early voting data, cross-tabulations, exit polls, and the potential undercounting of female and young voters. He references Christopher Boozy's access to Vantage Data House data, showing Harris leading in Florida and Debbie Mercosel-Powell leading against Rick Scott, with strong support from Hispanics and independents. He also discusses the discrepancies between betting markets, particularly the Polymarket, and the actual ground game, noting Scaramucci's observations from London.
Return to top⤴️
Ground Game and Early Voting Analysis
🎦 01:07:41-01:11:42⏩
Jonathan discusses the importance of the ground game and early voting data, referencing Rory Stewart's confidence in a Democrat win due to the female vote. He analyzes early voting numbers in key states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska's second district, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. He highlights the strengths of the Democratic ground game, particularly in Nevada and Pennsylvania, and the potential for a significant number of Republican voters crossing the aisle. He concludes by emphasizing the possibility of a contested election, regardless of the outcome, leading to protests and legal challenges.
Return to top⤴️
Wrap Up
🎦 01:11:42-01:11:52⏩
Jonathan concludes the video by sharing his final thoughts and prediction for a Harris win, acknowledging the possibility of a contested result. He expresses his sadness over the divisiveness of the election and encourages viewers to share their thoughts.
Return to top⤴️
