Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"...the Russians are just bastards... I'm just so at the end of my tether really with finding everything about what the Russian government is doing... absolutely despicable"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-02:07⏩
Jonathan expresses his anger and frustration at Russia's recent missile attacks on Odessa, specifically targeting a university law academy. He condemns those who try to justify Russia's actions and expresses exasperation at their continued aggression, such as GPS jamming affecting flights over the Baltics.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeastern Axis: Kupyansk, Svatove, Kreminna
🎦 02:07-05:43⏩
- Four Chechen battalions (estimated 150-200km from the Sumy border) have arrived near the Sumy oblast, possibly in Kursk or Belgorod. Jonathan doubts this signals a major offensive but suggests it could be a distraction tactic.
- Around Kislevka and Pischane, there are reports of Russian activity, with Surat Maps indicating gains.
- Near Yampolivka, in the forest east of the town, Ukrainian forces have reportedly pushed back Russian troops.
Bakhmut Area: Chasiv Yar, Bohdanivka and Abdiivka
🎦 05:43-11:27⏩
- Conflicting reports exist regarding the “canal microdistrict” in Chasiv Yar. Surat Maps initially showed Russian control but have since retracted this, likely a mapping error.
- Russians appear to have made advances in Bohdanivka, with Andrew Perpetua suggesting they may now control the entire village.
- North of Avdiivka, Russian forces have made gains in the Ocheretyne area, pushing south towards a key road connecting Kostyantynivka. Jonathan believes this is opportunistic rather than pre-planned. He expects Ukrainian defenses to stiffen as the Russians approach this key road.
Donetsk Oblast: Novodonetske, Netaylove, Pervomaiskyi
🎦 11:27-15:45⏩
- Around Novodonetske, Surat Maps had previously indicated Russian control, which other mappers and Jonathan disputed. They have now partially backtracked on this claim.
- Russians have made gains near Netaylove, with Andrew Perpetua and Surat Maps in agreement.
- There are consistent reports of Russian gains around Pervomaiskyi, pushing further into Netaylove.
- Jonathan highlights the pressure on Ukrainian forces in this area, particularly given their need for reinforcements and ammunition.
Donetsk Oblast: Novomykolaivka
🎦 15:45-17:30⏩
- Russian forces are gaining control of areas north and south of Novomykolaivka, aiming to connect to Pobjeda.
- Surat Maps indicates Russian gains southwest of Novomykolaivka, pushing towards Kostyantynivka. This raises concerns about a potential interdiction of the road connecting Vuhledar to the rest of the Donetsk Oblast.
Jonathan's Analysis: Russian Strategy
🎦 17:30-19:53⏩
- Jonathan believes Russia is taking advantage of the current lull in Ukrainian resources, making this an opportune time for them to attack.
- He questions the logic of reports suggesting Russia is stockpiling equipment, arguing that now is the time to deploy everything they have.
- He predicts Russia will aim to achieve significant victories before May 9th (Victory Day).
Southern Frontline and Dnipro River
🎦 19:53-20:50⏩
- No significant changes on the southern frontline.
- Confirmation that Ukrainian forces control the island of Nastroha on the Dnipro River. Jonathan suggests they will likely aim to take control of the entire area gradually. He also highlights the risks posed to boats in the region due to drone activity.
Wrap up
🎦 20:50-20:57⏩
Jonathan concludes the frontline update, hoping viewers found it informative.
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