Ukraine Conflict: 4-Day Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Broadly speaking, a better mapping update for Russia than the last two. It's just really interesting to wonder how much the Ukrainians have in reserve and whether the Russians have this accumulating, whether they are accumulating these forces to go in April."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:18⏩
- Jonathan welcomes viewers to ATP Geopolitics.
- This is a Ukraine war frontline update for the 3rd of April 2025.
- The previous frontline update was on the 31st, making this a 3-4 day update.
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Kursk/Sumy Region: Russian Advances
🎦 00:18-01:46⏩
- The update indicates several changes, mostly favouring Russian forces.
- Some sources suggest Ukrainian gains, possibly in grey zones.
- According to Suriyak Maps, the situation in the Kursk region is increasingly challenging for Ukraine.
- Russian forces are confirmed to be within the Ukrainian Sumy region, specifically around Bazivka, south of Novenka.
- Russians are focused on closing the Kursk sector, starting with the northern part.
- Jonathan references map interpretations from Andrew Perpetua and Suriyak Maps, noting discrepancies in their assessments of control in certain areas - Andrew Perpetua indicates a grey zone while Suriyak Maps shows full Russian control.
Sumy Region: Repelled Ukrainian Attack Claim
🎦 01:46-01:57⏩
- A source claims a recent Ukrainian attempt to break through Russian lines in Yanukivka (Sumy region) was repelled.
Sumy Oblast: Intense Russian Pressure
🎦 01:57-02:24⏩
- Puliv Volong's perspective indicates a challenging situation in this area.
- Russian forces are broadly pushing into the Sumy Oblast, applying significant pressure on Ukrainian troops.
Belgorod Region: Ukrainian Border Incursion
🎦 02:24-02:53⏩
- Russian maps indicate Ukrainian troops have occupied several kilometres within the Russian Belgorod region, north of Kolotilovka and west of Popovka.
- Fighting is reported near Demidovka and Popovka.
- Previous claims of Ukrainian control in these areas appear to be inaccurate.
Belgorod Region: Grey Zone and Vehicle Losses
🎦 02:53-04:17⏩
- Andrew Perpetua's map suggests a grey zone in the Belgorod area, with Ukrainian positions further back.
- War Vehicle Tracker indicates Ukrainian vehicle losses in the Belgorod region, including a Bradley fighting vehicle, BMPs, and an M88 engineering vehicle.
- These losses are attributed to a "failed March offensive into Belgorod".
Belgorod Offensive Analysis: Limited Ukrainian Gains
🎦 04:17-05:11⏩
- Jonathan questions the strategic objectives and effectiveness of the Ukrainian Belgorod offensive, suggesting that committing only two brigades may have been insufficient for significant gains.
- He speculates whether the limited offensive was intentional, aimed at tactical or operational objectives not immediately apparent.
Kharkiv Region (Kupyansk): Russian Gains South of Dvorichny
🎦 05:11-05:41⏩
- No changes are observed in the Kharkiv region around Kupyansk itself.
- Further south from Dvorichny and northwards, Russians are making gains.
- Andrew Perpetua reports Russian advances north of Kalinov in this southern sector before Kupyansk.
Kharkiv Region (Dvorichny): Pontoon Bridge Destroyed
🎦 05:41-06:19⏩
- Ukrainian forces destroyed a pontoon bridge that Russian forces were constructing across the Oskil River near Dvorichny.
- This suggests ongoing Russian attempts to advance in this area, met with Ukrainian resistance.
Kharkiv Region (Barova/Lozova): Ukrainian Gains Claimed
🎦 06:19-07:47⏩
- South of the Dvorichny sector, the Peschani sector remains unchanged.
- Claims suggest Ukrainian advances and fighting around Luzova in the Barova direction.
- Jonathan believes this area is likely a grey zone, representing Ukrainian territory retaken but not significantly altering the overall map due to existing Russian defensive lines.
- There's disagreement between Suriyak Maps and Andrew Perpetua regarding Russian control in this area.
Tourney Area (Balka-Zharavka): Minor Ukrainian Gains
🎦 07:47-08:00⏩
- North of the Tourney area, around Balka-Zharavka, minor Ukrainian gains are reported, showing continued but slow progress.
Siversk Area: Map Discrepancies
🎦 08:00-08:27⏩
- Significant discrepancies exist between map interpretations from Andrew Perpetua and Suriyak Maps in the Siversk area.
- Andrew Perpetua indicates the Russian defensive line, while Suriyak Maps depicts much broader Russian control, reflecting differing assessments of the situation.
Chesivyol and Turetsk: Status Update
🎦 08:27-08:41⏩
- No changes reported in Chesivyol, which is positive for Ukraine.
- Suriyak Maps indicates minor Russian gains in the Turetsk area, but this is not corroborated by other sources.
Prokrosk Area: Renewed Russian Movement
🎦 08:41-09:11⏩
- Sources primarily discuss developments closer to Prokrosk.
- Claims suggest renewed Russian movements around Oleksandropil and Pentelay-Mainivka.
- Both Andrew Perpetua and Suriyak Maps show Russian gains in this area, though not in complete agreement.
Prokrosk (Zeleny): Ukrainian Forces Enter Settlement
🎦 09:11-09:47⏩
- Ukrainian forces have entered the Zeleny settlement near Prokrosk.
- Antiprothetia map confirms Russian forces have been pushed out of Zeleny and to the other side of the Zeleny River, indicating Ukrainian gains.
Zverove: Ukrainian Liberation Claimed
🎦 09:47-10:33⏩
- Around Zverove, map interpretations differ. Suriyak Maps and Andrew Perpetua show Russian presence in the area, while Gray Skull indicates Russian forces have been pushed out.
- Gray Skull reports Ukrainian forces have liberated Zvirovo and control the area, which is not yet reflected on Jonathan's map.
Peschani: Russian Pushback
🎦 10:33-10:47⏩
- Russian forces have pushed back into Peschani, extending some distance from the railway line.
- This development aligns more with Andrew Perpetua's mapping but disagrees in other areas.
Kotlina: Minor Ukrainian Gains
🎦 10:47-11:20⏩
- Andrew Perpetua indicates minor Ukrainian gains around Kotlina.
- Another claim suggests Ukrainians are still advancing in the Kotlina area.
Infrastructure Neck: Russian Control
🎦 11:20-11:49⏩
- A narrow corridor allows Russia to supply infrastructure in this area, possibly related to mining or agriculture (grain or coal).
- This infrastructure remains under Russian control, but the thin supply line makes it vulnerable.
Solonet: Minor Ukrainian Gains
🎦 11:49-12:13⏩
- Suriyak Maps indicates minor Ukrainian gains around Solonet, with Ukrainians pushing back Russian forces slightly.
Novo Oleksandrivka and Uzponivka: Conflicting Reports
🎦 12:13-13:04⏩
- Novo Oleksandrivka is located a significant distance from Uzponivka.
- Suriyak Maps claims Russian control of Uzponivka, while Andrew Perpetua suggests it's a grey zone, with Russian forces further back in Novo Vazilivka.
- Kolibri.93 reports Ukrainian forces have cleared Novo Oleksandrivka, aligning more with Andrew Perpetua's mapping.
- There is disagreement between Suriyak Maps and Andrew Perpetua regarding Russian presence in this area.
- Ukrainian forces are generally advancing in this sector of the battlefield.
Kostiantynopil and Andreevka: Potential Ukrainian Trouble
🎦 13:04-13:31⏩
- Areas further south are generally unfavourable for Ukraine.
- Tim White suggests potential Ukrainian difficulties around Kostiantynopil, an area where Ukraine had previously regained territory in Andreevka and Kostiantynopil.
Zaporizhzhia Village Area: Russian Advances Westward
🎦 13:31-13:48⏩
- Russian forces are making significant gains westward around the Zaporizhzhia village area.
- Andrew Perpetua's map is somewhat catching up to these changes, but again, there is a considerable difference between Andrew Perpetua and Suriyak Maps, with Suriyak Maps being less favourable to Ukraine.
Andreevka and Kostiantynopil Roads: Russian Gains
🎦 13:48-14:05⏩
- Around Andreevka, Suriyak Maps indicates substantial Russian gains along a road.
- Further south, significant Russian advances are reported on the road leading out of Kostiantynopil.
Andreevka Area: Ukrainian Counterattack Claim
🎦 14:05-14:40⏩
- Greyskull reports Ukrainian counterattacks north of the road near Andreevka (as of April 1st, while the current update is for April 3rd).
- This suggests potential Ukrainian gains in this area, unconfirmed by either Andrew Perpetua or Suriyak Maps.
Kostiantynopil Area: Ukrainian Pressure
🎦 14:40-15:08⏩
- Suriyak Maps indicates Ukraine is under significant pressure in the Kostiantynopil area.
- Tim White suggests the possibility of Ukrainian troops being encircled as Russian forces advance along roads in this region, depending on the source consulted.
Vazeli: Minor Russian Gains
🎦 15:08-15:20⏩
- Suriyak Maps reports minor Russian gains around Vazeli, located at the northern tip of the former Velikonova-Silka sector.
- This area is now distant from Velikonova-Silka.
Pyatikhetky Area: Ukrainian Ground Loss
🎦 15:20-15:31⏩
- Ukraine is losing more territory around the Pyatikhetky area, near Malyshevaki, where they have been under pressure.
Dynamic Frontline and Russian Offensive Speculation
🎦 15:31-16:27⏩
- The frontline remains dynamic with areas changing control as both sides attack and counterattack.
- Overall, this frontline update is more favourable for Russia compared to the previous two updates.
- Questions arise about Ukrainian reserves and whether Russia is accumulating forces for a potential major offensive in April.
- A commander from the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade anticipates a major Russian offensive in April.
Russian Offensive Timing Speculation
🎦 16:27-17:08⏩
- The anticipated Russian offensive in April could occur at any time.
- Previous expectations were for a Russian offensive in summer or late summer.
- Various Ukrainian sources suggest potential Russian attacks in different frontline locations with varying troop numbers.
- It remains uncertain, but Russia may still have significant offensive capabilities.
Wrap up
🎦 17:08-17:11⏩
- Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and concludes the video.