Ukraine hit by ANOTHER air ATTACK | Ukraine Strikes Moscow & Industrial Sites | Ukraine War News
Table of Contents 📖
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:26⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to an ATP Geopolitics video, noting he is in a hotel room and that Benny Pye is assisting with the visuals. He mentions that it has been another terrible night of strikes by the Russians.
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Overview of Russian Air Attacks & Ballistic Missile Stockpile Rumour
🎦 00:26-00:38⏩
Jonathan highlights the recent intense Russian air attacks. He also mentions a rumour, reportedly from the Financial Times, that Russia has stockpiled 500 ballistic missiles, which if true, would pose a significant future threat to Ukraine.
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Ukrainian General Staff Figures for Russian Losses
🎦 00:38-01:32⏩
Jonathan presents the latest Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses from the previous day, reminding viewers of the usual caveats. Key figures include:
- 1,000 personnel
- 4 tanks
- 8 troop-carrying AFVs (lower than usual)
- 51 artillery systems (typically high, more than double the daily average)
- 1 multiple-launch rocket system
- 2 anti-aircraft warfare systems
- Huge number of drones and missiles from the past two nights (exact number not specified for this specific report, but noted as significant)
- 92 vehicles and fuel tanks (fairly high, but lower than previously observed).
Jonathan notes that overall, the loss data shows somewhat lower numbers compared to recent trends.
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Russian Air Attacks on Ukraine (26th May) & Air Defence Challenges
🎦 01:32-03:01⏩
Jonathan details the "pretty incredible night" of Russian attacks on 26th May.
- Russia launched 364 air attack assets, including 9 air-launched cruise missiles and 355 Shahed attack drones.
- 288 Shahed drones were shot down, meaning 67 drones got through.
- Jonathan describes this as a "staggering number" of drones, not only in the quantity launched but also in how many successfully reached their targets, launched from various typical areas.
- He notes a lack of battle damage assessment photos from Ukraine, suggesting a potential cover-up if hits were significant.
Rumours of Patriot System Strikes in Kyiv and Odesa
🎦 03:01-04:24⏩
Jonathan discusses rumours, particularly from pro-Russian accounts like Skvots and Aydin, suggesting that several Patriot air defence systems have been hit.
- There are unverified claims of a Patriot system being hit in Odesa.
- A video, which Jonathan plans to review, allegedly shows a strike on a Patriot system in Kyiv, appearing to show two launchers.
- Jonathan stresses the importance of examining pro-Russian sources to understand their claims and identify potential Ukrainian cover-ups regarding damaged high-value assets like Patriots.
- He believes that Patriot systems are "target number one" for the Russians and that Ukraine may be experiencing "a little bit or maybe even a lot" of air defence degradation.
Concerns over Ukrainian Air Defence Missile Shortages (French Systems)
🎦 04:24-05:39⏩
Jonathan highlights worrying reports from French ATU Ukraine and Le Monde regarding Ukraine's air defence capabilities:
- Yurii Ihnat, spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Force, stated that Western-supplied F-16 and Mirage 2005 F fighters were involved in shooting down missiles.
- However, Le Monde reports that Ukraine has run out of missiles for its two SAMP/T batteries (capable of downing ballistic missiles) and has not received any missiles for its short-range Crotale system in a year and a half.
- Jonathan expresses shock at these shortages, explaining that the Crotale NG is an outdated system being replaced, so France no longer produces its missiles. This means Ukraine would need to source them from other users, presenting a significant challenge.
Russian Adaptations in Drone Attacks & Potential Ballistic Missile Stockpile
🎦 05:40-05:49⏩,06:01-07:33⏩
Jonathan further discusses the intensified Russian missile and drone strikes over the past 48 hours, detailing key adaptations in Russian tactics:
- According to MAKS24, Ukraine has seen over 2,000 Shahed drones in 20 days. Recent waves included 300 drones and 69 missiles (May 24th-25th), and 250 drones and 14 ballistic missiles the night before.
- Ukraine's success rate against Shaheds, previously over 90%, has reportedly dropped, though Jonathan disputes a claim of 30% success, confirming a general decline.
- Commander Yakut (via Le Monde) states that since January, Shahed drones are flying at 2,000-3,000 metres instead of 200 metres, making them unreachable by Ukrainian cannons.
- Jonathan explains that these new tactics, combined with claims of Chinese chips making warheads more electronic warfare resistant, and varied flight paths (very high or very low), indicate Russia is adapting to Ukrainian air defences.
- He reiterates his concern about the rumoured 500 ballistic missile stockpile, calling it a "massive, massive problem waiting to happen."
Donald Trump's Response to the Ukraine War
🎦 05:54-06:01⏩,07:34-10:51⏩
Jonathan critically analyses Donald Trump's reaction to the intensified attacks, conveyed via a True Social post:
- Trump claims to have had a "very good relationship with Vladimir Putin" but says Putin has "gone absolutely all caps crazy" and is "needlessly killing a lot of people," including civilians. This is a rare, direct criticism of Putin from Trump.
- However, Trump quickly pivots to blaming President Zelensky, stating he's "doing his country no favours by talking the way he does," which Jonathan finds "absolutely outrageous" and "disgusting."
- Trump then reverts to his default position, asserting the war "would never have started if I were president," and labelling it "Zelensky's, Putin's and Biden's war, not Trump's." He claims to be "helping to put out the big and ugly fires," a claim Jonathan dismisses as false.
- Jonathan notes this is typical "performative BS" from Trump, accusing him of "crocodile tears of a narcissistic sociopath" and highlighting that Trump blames Zelensky as much as Putin, implying "bad Ukrainians asking to be invaded."
Ukrainian Drone Attacks on Russian Industrial & Military Sites
🎦 10:51-12:57⏩
Jonathan reports on recent Ukrainian drone attacks within Russia:
- Ukraine again targeted Yelabuga, the original Shahed drone manufacturing facility in Russia's Tartarstan region, marking at least the third time this site has been hit.
- Another drone attack targeted a chemical plant in a different oblast.
- While Russia claims to have downed 148 drones last night, Jonathan stresses that these attacks are only "useful if they actually find their targets."
- He expresses concern that Russia seems to be improving at intercepting Ukrainian drones, while Ukraine appears to be getting worse at taking out Russian drones, a "direction of travel that I'm not liking at all."
Shift in Ukrainian Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Attacks
🎦 12:59-13:37⏩
Jonathan observes a noticeable shift in Ukrainian targeting strategy:
- Ukraine is now "very rarely" aiming at Russian hydrocarbon infrastructure, such as oil refineries and depots.
- This is despite their previous "great success" in hitting these targets.
- Jonathan speculates that the US might be exerting pressure on Ukraine not to strike these facilities, as the attacks have significantly decreased.
Wrap up
🎦 13:37-14:10⏩
Jonathan concludes the update by acknowledging that it's not as detailed as usual due to his travel. He humorously addresses viewer guesses about his location, confirming he was at an "Irish pub in Patagonia," "hanging out with the exiled penguins from the Marshall and Heard Islands." He bids farewell, telling viewers to "Take care, y'all" and "Toodlepips."
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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