Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Let's face it, the Russians' definition of liberation appears to be reducing somewhere to rubble and making people flee and having nothing but chaos and death - that is their definition of liberation."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:28⏩
Jonathan, slightly inebriated having returned from the pub, welcomes viewers to the daily frontline update. Despite the effects of the beer and wine, and his MS, Jonathan is determined to deliver the update. He's very happy to have made it back from the pub without major incident (apart from stumbling) and has decided if he can do that he can do the update!
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna Front
🎦 01:28-03:25⏩
No major changes reported by the mappers. Jonathan notes that there has been lots of activity in the Kupyansk area, particularly around Synkivka, where the Russians are losing a lot of equipment, repeating the same failed tactics. Jonathan encourages viewers to search Twitter for "Synkivka" to see footage.
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Russian tactics
🎦 03:25-04:10⏩
Jonathan highlights the Russian approach of throwing men and equipment at the front line, despite lacking experienced reserve units, drawing parallels to the definition of insanity.
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Sperna (North of Bakhmut): Russian Advance
🎦 04:10-06:10⏩
Jonathan reports Russian gains north of Bakhmut, specifically in Sperna, corroborated by both Andriy Perpetua and Suriat Maps. He describes the Russians moving through the village, highlighting past fighting over infrastructure and tunnels in the area. Jonathan details the Russian advance from a gas station to the urban area of Sperna, noting differences in the reported advance between Andriy Perpetua and Suriat Maps.
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Northwest of Berestove: Russian Gains
🎦 06:10-06:41⏩
Further Russian gains are noted northwest of Berestove, an area described as visually similar to Sperna.
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Klishchiivka Area
🎦 06:41-08:40⏩
No mapping changes are reported for the Klishchiivka area. Jonathan recounts a conversation from a recent live stream with Greg Terry about their charity drive, highlighting Greg's efforts delivering drones and medical equipment to the Ukrainian frontlines and encouraging viewer support. He mentions a commenter, claiming to be fighting in Klishchiivka, who reported recent Ukrainian successes near the lake, corroborated by Andriy Perpetua's mapping. However, in the live chat, the commenter describes a deteriorating situation with heavy Russian artillery and phosphorus bomb attacks, suggesting it might be his last communication. Jonathan expresses concern for the commenter's well-being and acknowledges the possibility of intense pressure on Ukrainian forces in the area.
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Bakhmut: Cemetery and Chasiv Yar
🎦 08:40-10:47⏩
Suriat Maps shows Russian gains around the cemetery near the O0506 road, approaching Chasiv Yar. However, Deep State Maps suggests Ukrainian forces might have regained some of the cemetery area. Jonathan highlights the strategic importance of Chasiv Yar and its potentially stronger defenses compared to Bakhmut. He expresses concerns about the Russians' steady advances and their capacity to sustain losses.
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Avdiivka: Renewed Russian Offensive and Stepova Clashes
🎦 10:47-14:26⏩
Russian gains are reported north of Avdiivka, along the railway line towards Novokakhmutivka and Novodonetske. Jonathan notes the Russians are getting very close to reaching those areas. He cites Perpetua's report of the Russians restarting their offensive to encircle Avdiivka after a pause, making small advances north of the water treatment facilities. Despite Ukrainian gains within Stepova, clashes continue, with the Ukrainians determined to hold the settlement. Jonathan shares information from Special Kherson Cat, who reports on a failed Russian attack on Stepova with significant Russian losses, confirmed by Deep State and the 47th OMBr. He acknowledges the fierce fighting in Stepova, suggesting Ukrainian resistance is hindering Russian progress.
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Mariinka: Russian Advance and Concerns over 'Liberation'
🎦 14:26-16:39⏩
Jonathan expresses concern over Russian gains west of Donetsk City, particularly their advance towards Heorhiivka. He highlights the limited strategic value of holding Mariinka and the risk of the Russians turning Heorhiivka into "the next Mariinka", describing the devastated city in Anton Gerashchenko's words as a "rubble-strewn moonscape". Jonathan criticizes the Russian concept of "liberation", arguing it equates to reducing areas to rubble and displacing populations.
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Velyka Novosilka: No Significant Changes
🎦 16:39-16:52⏩
Jonathan reports no significant changes in the Velyka Novosilka sector.
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Robotyne: Russian Gains and Ukrainian Resistance
🎦 16:52-19:11⏩
Jonathan notes Russian gains around Robotyne, corroborated by multiple mappers, with Andriy Perpetua's update aligning with Suriat Maps' previous reports. He highlights Suriat Maps' assessment of significant Russian advances northeast of Kopani, northwest of Robotyne, and between Robotyne and Verbove, jeopardizing a section of the "Surovikin line". Jonathan explains these fortifications were built under General Surovikin's command and posed significant challenges to the Ukrainians, with the front line remaining largely static for a considerable time. The current Russian advance is putting pressure on a salient of Ukrainian control in the area.
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Kamianske: Mixed Successes and Mapping Discrepancies
🎦 19:11-20:20⏩
Conflicting reports are noted near Kamianske. Suriat Maps shows Russian advances, while Andriy Perpetua indicates Ukrainian control of a larger area, although within the grey zone, not pushing back the established Russian line. Jonathan highlights discrepancies between the maps and acknowledges the complexity of the situation in this area.
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Dnipro River Front and the Kinburn Spit Bridgehead
🎦 20:20-24:26⏩
Jonathan addresses claims from "Russia-neutral" sources about the Kinburn Spit bridgehead being pointless and serving as a Russian kill zone. He contrasts this with the Ukrainian perspective that the bridgehead draws Russian forces into a vulnerable position, allowing for effective counterattacks and attrition. Jonathan cites evidence, including footage of destroyed Russian equipment, to support the Ukrainian assessment, suggesting the bridgehead is strategically valuable for Ukraine. He acknowledges the difficulty Ukrainians face in expanding the bridgehead but emphasizes its worth in attracting and degrading Russian forces. Jonathan questions the narrative pushed by some sources, arguing they often present a one-sided view of battles, favoring Russia and downplaying their losses. He criticizes the lack of Russian air activity over Kinburn Spit in recent days, attributing it to the loss of Su-34 fighter-bombers.
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Wrap up
🎦 24:26-25:07⏩
Jonathan asks viewers to share their thoughts, encourages likes, subscriptions, and sharing, expresses gratitude for support received through Buy Me a Coffee and PayPal, and thanks those contributing to the charity effort spearheaded by himself, Greg Terry, and Darren Girdes. He provides links to the charity in the video description and bids farewell.
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