Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Once the Ukrainians can break down this defensive, I guess, capability in terms of how capable the Russians are in using artillery, in using air defence. Once they do that, they can break through in multiple places, would be the theory, because actually there are no dedicated reserves that the Russians can bring in to defend."
Hello Team!
Jonathan is rushing to do this frontline update before leaving on a trip. He will not be referring to the ISW today.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Kupiansk to Kreminna Frontline
- Some Russian gains near Kupiansk, southwest of Persho-Travnevy
- Clashes ongoing in Novoselicza outskirts, town is destroyed
- Russians may be trying to push north and south of Novoselicza like they did further south near Svatove
- Fighting continues south of Novoselicza, outlook more positive for Ukrainians
- Russians making small progress along firebreak in Kreminna forest
Bilohorivka Area
- Russians have made gains in Bilohorivka area according to Suriyat Maps
- They have recaptured high positions overlooking town from the east
- This is a worry for Ukrainians, the net is closing somewhat
- Back and forth fighting in this area, Russians will struggle to maintain momentum
Bakhmut Area
- Klishchivka abandoned by Russians according to Radu Hosu
- Andrivka liberated, attacked twice by Russian paratroopers trying to retake
- Kurdyumivka 30% under Ukrainian control
- No reports about north Bakhmut
- Suriyat Maps has not updated Kurdyumivka as under Ukrainian control despite evidence
- Russians pulled back to railway line in northern area
- Shelling around Andrivka, Kurdyumivka
Avdiivka Area
- Russian gains to the north admitted by Suriyat Maps
- Increasing Russian control around Kamyanka, taking positions west of reservoirs
- Potential Ukrainian gains to the south according to Deep State map
- Lots of confusing lines and movement in both directions in this area
Southern Donetsk/Vuhledar Area
- Suriyat Maps finally updated to show Ukrainians retook area east of Vuhledar back in June
- Significant change for Suriyat Maps to admit this
- Shows Russians under pressure in this area
- Potential for Ukrainians to get behind Russian defensive lines and attack towards Mariupol
- Ukrainian gains also near Novomykhailivka not mentioned by Suriyat Maps
Velyka Novosilka Area
- Lots of first-person drone footage of Ukrainians striking Russian targets in Staromaiorske
- Ukrainians hammering targets, likely to advance to Zavitne in the south
- Russians failed to recapture Staromaiorske
- Urzhaine contested, Ukrainians advancing into and east of village
- Reconnaissance troops may have approached Staromaiorske
- No news on Novodonetsk and Novomayorsk despite rumours of liberation
Robotyne Area
- Ukrainians broke through first line of defence between Robotyne and Verbove
- Preparing for "semi-chase" 5km south of main Surovikin line
- Extreme test for Ukrainians upcoming
- Ukrainians progressed eastwards, control trenches of first defensive line
- Fighting increasing near Novopokrovka
- Ukrainians calmly in control of trenches despite Russian drone attacks
- Indicates lack of nearby Russian troops
- Ukrainians clearing trenches, possibly moving towards Verbove
- Claims Ukrainians close to second line of defence after breaking first line
- Robotyne has been tough, Ukrainians lost men and equipment, but Russian losses likely higher
Kamyanske Area
- Ukrainians maintaining pressure towards Vasylivka
- Binding Russian troops, pushing forward to take Russian positions
- Slow progress, "bite and hold" to get Russians to eventually capitulate
- Goal to degrade Russian artillery and air defences to enable breakthroughs in multiple areas
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers and says he will post an update tomorrow from another country. Toodlepips!
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