Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Table of Contents 📖
"They fight with skill and not with the lives of people."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:48⏩
Jonathan starts the update with a warm "Hello team" and apologises for the slight delay, attributing it to his mapping updates and a night out with friends discussing Ukrainian philosophy and politics over pints of Black Sheep ale. He acknowledges the impact of the evening on his current state but assures viewers he will deliver the news. He notes there isn't a significant amount of news to cover.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
🎦 00:48-01:31⏩
Jonathan reviews the Ukrainian General Staff's figures for estimated Russian losses, emphasizing the usual caveats and directing viewers to the video description for details. The losses include 1,120 personnel (marking the third consecutive day with over 1,000 casualties), five tanks, 21 armoured personnel vehicles (APVs), 13 artillery systems, one anti-aircraft warfare system, 33 vehicles and fuel tanks, and three pieces of special equipment. He notes that Andrew Perpetua's loss list, usually provided, is unavailable and will be addressed in a future update.
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War Translated: Russian Penal Battalion Instructor's Perspective
🎦 01:31-07:02⏩
Jonathan cites and analyses a WarTranslated report, highlighting a Russian penal battalion instructor's perspective on the situation at the front. This individual criticizes the Russian military's approach, describing it as a "throw bodies at the problem" strategy. He decries the disconnect between propaganda portraying "heroic advances" and the reality of heavy losses. This source also condemns the Russian media for glorifying commanders and their "amazingness" while ignoring the human cost of their tactics. Jonathan highlights a specific quote from this individual: "They fight with skill and not with the lives of people". This quote is attributed to Georgi Konstantinovich Zhukov and Jonathan believes it was likely used ironically.
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Footage of Destroyed Russian Equipment
🎦 07:02-08:34⏩
Jonathan presents footage showing the destruction of two BUK systems in the Sumy region, reporting this as a successful operation by Ukrainian special operations forces. He further shares a video depicting the aftermath of Ukrainian FPV drone strikes on a road between Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar. The footage reveals a trail of destroyed Russian vehicles, primarily trucks and support vehicles, emphasizing the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone warfare.
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Overnight Strikes
🎦 08:34-10:47⏩
Jonathan discusses overnight drone and missile strikes. Moscow officially acknowledged intercepting six Ukrainian drones, three over Voronezh and one each in Ryazan, Belgorod, and Kursk. However, they provided no information about drones that may have evaded interception. He reports on successful Ukrainian drone attacks on the Russian oil industry, specifically targeting refineries in Ryazan and Voronezh. While Moscow downplayed the attacks, local governors confirmed the incidents, and video footage reveals significant damage to the Ryazan refinery. Jonathan emphasizes the strategic importance of targeting Russian fuel infrastructure. In response to these strikes, Russia launched missile attacks on Odesa, resulting in three civilian fatalities. He expresses concern over the escalating Russian aggression towards Odessa in recent weeks.
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Impact of Ukrainian Drone Strikes on Russian Fuel Prices
🎦 10:47-15:14⏩
Jonathan analyses a Politico article titled "Putin's Fuel Problem: How Ukraine Is Sapping Russia's Diesel and Gasoline," which highlights the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone strikes in disrupting Russian fuel supplies. The article reports a 10% surge in diesel prices and a 20% increase in gasoline prices for Russian consumers. He cites a tweet by Tendar, who states that targeting Russian oil infrastructure is highly efficient and will have a significant impact on Russia's economy and war industry. Jonathan agrees with this assessment and questions the limited scale of drone attacks, suggesting that Ukraine could be doing more. He acknowledges the risks associated with long-range drone missions but believes the potential rewards outweigh the risks. He speculates about the US administration's influence on Ukraine's targeting decisions, suggesting that concerns about potential impacts on US fuel prices during the upcoming election season may be a factor. He concludes this topic by acknowledging the use of ATACMS missiles by Ukraine against targets in Crimea, demonstrating the variety of weapons systems being deployed.
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Looting and Property Seizure in Occupied Zaporizhia
🎦 15:14-17:36⏩
Jonathan shifts focus to Russian activities in occupied Zaporizhia. He shares a tweet by Jay in Kyiv, who reports large-scale looting of private property by Russian forces. This looting includes the seizure of apartments abandoned by Ukrainians fleeing the conflict, which are then auctioned off by the Russian administration. Jonathan expresses concern over this violation of international humanitarian law, which aims to force Ukrainian citizens to accept Russian passports or risk losing their property. He notes the long-term consequences of such actions, emphasizing the challenges of reversing ownership and restoring normalcy in these regions after the war.
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Wrap up
🎦 17:36-17:42⏩
Jonathan concludes the video by thanking viewers for watching and encouraging them to like, subscribe, and share the content.
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