Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Every Russian with a smartphone is our best friend, comrade and client."
Hello Team!
Jonathan apologises for the late video as he was out yesterday and had a lie in. He mentions his son's football match was cancelled so he had some extra time.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian general staff figures for Russian losses show 860 personnel lost, which is lower than yesterday but still significant
- Equipment losses include 6 tanks, 7 APVs, 18 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 anti-aircraft warfare system, 8 drones, 1 cruise missile, 29 vehicles/fuel tanks, and 4 pieces of special equipment
- These losses will hurt the Russians but are not the highest seen
- Andrew Perpetua's listing shows a much higher loss ratio of 5 or 6 to 1 in Ukraine's favour, likely catching up from previous days
- Jonathan notes that the footage shared is only ever a fraction of the total losses on both sides
Ukrainian Losses
- An ST-68UM radar system was destroyed by a missile strike
- A Krab self-propelled howitzer was damaged by a Lancet drone
- 4 Lancet drones took out 4 artillery pieces
- Lancet drones are becoming a nuisance again for Ukraine
Drone Attack on Kyiv
- Russia launched its biggest ever aerial attack on Ukraine with 75 drones and 1 Kh-59 missile
- Ukrainian air defences shot down 71-74 of the drones (98.6% interception rate) and 100% of missiles
- Jonathan questions why Russia didn't send cruise missiles as well to overwhelm air defences
- Falling drone debris still caused damage and injuries in Kyiv
- The attack coincided with Holodomor Memorial Day, which Zelensky called deliberate terror
- Some of the drones were painted black to avoid detection at night
- Russia can produce/receive 700-1000 Shahid drones per month according to a pro-Ukrainian source
Dignitaries in Kyiv
- The Swiss President and Latvian President were visiting Kyiv during the drone attacks
- Jonathan hopes this will convince the Swiss leader to allow weapons to be sent to Ukraine
- The Latvian President is already very supportive of Ukraine
Crimea and Russia Strikes
- A Russian air defence launcher and radar complex was reportedly destroyed in occupied Crimea
- A strike in Volgograd hit a military arsenal twice, causing a fire and evacuation
- If Ukraine had 75 Shahid drones they could do immense damage to such targets
- Ukraine's drone capacity is increasing but Russia is a vast country with many spread out targets
Other News
- Ukraine has created a working group to coordinate the construction of fortifications
- Russia has lost 76 passenger planes due to sanctions on the airline industry
- An Economist article discusses Russia's growing electronic warfare capabilities and how they are impacting Ukrainian drones and artillery
- Ukraine is struggling to match Russia's EW capabilities and not receiving much help from Western allies in this area
- Zelensky has asked for a new mobilisation plan from his military leaders
- The SBU used open source information, including tourist videos, to plan their attack on the Kerch Bridge
- Russia is struggling to cope with high casualty rates and releasing badly injured soldiers "into the wild"
- Putin has pardoned a cannibal serial killer to fight in Ukraine, causing shock on Russian social media
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks Michael, a follower from Canada, for sending him some retro t-shirts from his eBay store. He also shares a video of his son performing at the opening of an ice rink, dressed as the Grinch.
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