Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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"Both sides are suffering high casualties, with Russian losses likely the highest since the peak of the battle for Bakhmut in March."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides the latest update on the Ukraine war for June 18, 2023. He reviews the Ukrainian general staff figures for Russian losses, noting 650 liquidated personnel and significant equipment losses including tanks, APVs, artillery systems, and helicopters. Both sides are suffering high casualties according to UK intelligence.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Hits and Losses
- Ukrainian Air Force has been busy, shooting down 12 drones (5 attack types, 7 reconnaissance)
- Russian Ka-52 helicopters are causing problems for Ukrainian forces, taking out tanks/IFVs at a distance
- Ukrainians are increasingly using FPV drones to strike Russian hideouts/trenches, though their effectiveness is unclear as Russian defences are well-built
- Significant ammunition dump hit at Rykove near Henichesk, with secondary explosions. Also hits reported in Skadovsk, Alchevsk, Holubivka, Luhansk, and Berdyansk.
- Oil refinery in Bryansk, Russia attacked by drones
Front Line Update
Fighting continues in key areas:
- Velyka Novosilka area (Vuhlehirsk, Volodymyrivka, Blahodatne)
- South of Orikhiv (Robotyne, Mala Tokmachka)
- Piatykhatky area - reports suggest village liberated by Ukraine
- Intense fighting reported at Robotyne with Ukrainian losses
Military Aid
- Questions raised over Shoigu's visit to tank factory in Siberia and Russia's ability to produce tanks at scale. Analysts skeptical of outdoor tank storage.
- Denmark ready to donate F-16s to Ukraine if US approves
- Belgium to provide 40-50 modernized M113 APCs to Ukraine
- Footage of Ukrainian Challenger tank shared, implying their deployment to front lines
Geopolitics
- Kazakhstan begins new wave of decommunization, renaming Soviet-era places. Reflects battle for influence between US, China and Russia in Asia.
- Biden clarifies Ukraine must meet same standards to join NATO, can't bypass process. Balancing act between supporting Ukraine and fairness to other aspiring members.
Wrap up
Jonathan notes that while some viewers request shorter updates, comprehensive coverage of the complex Ukraine war and geopolitical context requires more depth. He aims to cover all key news rather than just individual battles. Thanks for watching!
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