Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid & Geopolitics News
Table of Contents 📖
"Russia has dropped five bombs on the Belgorod region in the last four days."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:22⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to an ATP Geopolitics video - a Ukraine war news update for 13th May 2024. It is the second part of the update, focusing on military aid and equipment, which doesn't have much content, so he'll include some geopolitical news.
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More Russian FAB-500 bombs fall in Belgorod, Russia
🎦 00:22-02:35⏩
Jonathan reports on more Russian FAB-500 guided glide bombs falling in Russia's Belgorod region. Locals report a shell falling from an airplane with one bomb failing to detonate in a parking lot and another exploding nearby eight hours later. This follows an explosion at a Belgorod residential building the previous day. Jonathan notes this is the 33rd such incident in two and a half months and questions whether the apartment explosion, which caused deaths and injuries, was caused by a Russian missile going astray, an internal explosion, a gas explosion, or a deliberate false flag attack. He highlights the frequency of similar events as evidence supporting the possibility of Russian responsibility. He adds that on May 4th, seven people were injured by a FAB-500 in Belgorod.
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Russian Ka-52 helicopter destroyed near Avdiivka, Ukraine
🎦 02:36-03:05⏩
News is filtering through of a Russian Ka-52 attack helicopter being destroyed near Avdiivka, the first such downing in a long time. It indicates Ukrainians have MANPADS or other air defences in the area, especially since a Russian Su-27 or Su-25 was also shot down there recently.
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Russia replaces Defence Minister Shoigu with economist Andrei Belousov
🎦 03:06-07:27⏩
Jonathan analyses the implications of Russia replacing Defence Minister Shoigu with Andrei Belousov, an economist with no military background. He believes this signals the war is going badly for Russia and that this change aims to improve their performance. He cites Dara Massicot's analysis that the move places Shoigu, a close friend of Putin, in a respectable position and acknowledges public sentiment about Shoigu's leadership. He highlights Belousov's lack of military experience, comparing it to Shoigu's own lack of credentials. This, he predicts, will raise concerns within the Russian military, who may fear a repeat of previous leadership issues. Jonathan anticipates further changes, including the potential replacement of Gerasimov, despite official statements to the contrary. Jonathan believes Belousov's appointment could be a shrewd move, as his financial background could help Russia emulate Ukraine's success in integrating its military-industrial complex and reacting to battlefield needs. Jonathan also notes analysis from Yakub Yanovsky, who suggests Belousov could be a more dangerous opponent than Shoigu if he successfully replaces other senior officials, and from Max Seddon, who contrasts Belousov's technocratic work ethic with Shoigu's more superficial leadership style.
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Military Aid Update: US and European Aid, Rochelle's Success Story and Ukrainian Mobilization
🎦 07:27-13:46⏩
US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, reassures that military aid for Ukraine is ongoing with $400 million recently released from the supplemental budget for defense supplies, including Bradleys, M113s, HARM missiles, and HIMARS. Jonathan highlights the success of Rochelle, a Canadian company featured in Colby Badwight's interview. Rochelle has delivered over 1,000 armoured vehicles to Ukraine, including Senator APCs and is running three shifts to meet demand. Their success has secured contracts with countries like Canada, the USA, Costa Rica, Bosnia, Israel and South Korea. Rochelle plans to expand to the US and Europe, including building facilities in Germany and Ukraine. They already have repair workshops in Ukraine and employ over 200 Ukrainian refugees. Rochelle is also developing an 8x8 vehicle and a fully electric vehicle, likely for civilian use. Ukraine's Defence Minister, Rustem Umerov, states that the army needs drivers, mechanics and drone operators. He adds that convicted Ukrainians will be mobilised into special units but clarifies that the decision will consider the prisoner's crime, the court's decision, and the commander's willingness to accept them. This suggests that mobilisation may be enforced. Individuals convicted of crimes against Ukraine's national security, killing multiple people (single murders are acceptable), sexual offenses, terrorism, drunk driving, killing or attempting to kill law enforcement or military, and severe corruption are exempt.
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Wrap up
🎦 13:46-13:58⏩
Jonathan concludes the video by acknowledging that he hasn't covered the geopolitical content in this video and will likely create a separate video for it. He thanks his viewers for watching, asking them to like, subscribe and share.
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