Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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"I'm starting to come around to the idea that actually it probably was the right idea to hold on to Bakhmut, but I guess time will tell."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war, noting that real life has gotten in the way of posting the video earlier. He shares a recap of territory gained and lost by Russia and Ukraine over the past few months, highlighting Russia's minimal gains in the last four months despite their offensive efforts.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Russian Winter Offensive Fails
- Russian, Ukrainian and Western sources agree the Russian winter offensive has failed to achieve the Kremlin's goals of seizing Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by March 31st
- Chief of Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov had announced in December that seizing Donetsk was the focus, implying a winter offensive
- UK MoD notes Gerasimov has failed to extend control over Donbas, achieving only marginal gains
- Russian military bloggers express disappointment in lack of decisive battles and observe Russia may not be able to continue large-scale offensives
- Deputy Head of Russian National Guard in Donetsk agrees with former commander Surovikin about need to shift to defensive positions
Frontline Updates
- Northeast front: Pro-Russian mapper made corrections giving Ukrainians more land; no major changes
- Bakhmut area:
- Russians made limited gains in north and south of city according to pro-Russian sources
- Tempo of Russian assaults decreasing; forces becoming apathetic to deaths of comrades
- Large explosion at Azom plant, possibly from Tochka-U missile, likely causing significant Russian casualties
- Railway bridge destroyed affecting Russian supply lines
- Heavy snow making maneuverability difficult
- Avdiivka: Russians attempting to advance but no confirmed territorial changes; city heavily shelled
- Marinka: Disagreement between Ukrainian and Russian mappers on control; no other significant updates
- Southern fronts (Zaporizhzhia, Kherson): No confirmed attacks, only routine shelling
Wrap up
In summary, the Russian winter offensive has failed to achieve its goals, with only marginal gains made. Fighting remains focused around Bakhmut, where Russians are slowly advancing but also facing pushback and struggling with weather conditions. Other key areas like Avdiivka and Marinka see continued assaults but no major changes in control. Jonathan offers his view that Ukraine's strategy of holding Bakhmut to pin down and degrade Russian forces while preparing for a counteroffensive may prove to be the right decision, though it remains to be seen. He appreciates his viewers' support and welcomes feedback.
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