Ukraine War Update NEWS (20230905a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"If you're best mates with China, North Korea and Iran then as Michelin web the comedians said you know are we the bad guys you know it's addressed in SS Nazi paraphernalia with skulls on their on their They're like, have you ever thought that we're the bad guys? Yeah, that's what you need to be doing there."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides his daily Ukraine War news update for September 5, 2023. He notes there was heavy Russian troll activity in the YouTube comments on his videos yesterday.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Hits and Losses
- Ukrainian General Staff reported 560 Russian personnel losses, 9 tanks, 7 APVs, 38 artillery systems, 6 MLRS, 1 anti-aircraft system, 31 drones, 26 vehicles/fuel tanks lost
- Jonathan believes these figures are fairly accurate, even if overestimated by 40-50% they still represent very bad losses for Russia
- Oryx visually confirmed 20 pieces of Russian equipment lost vs 18 Ukrainian; more tanks lost by Ukraine suggesting they are pushing forward with armour
- Andrew Perpetua reported a 2:1 loss ratio in Ukraine's favour across all equipment types
Equipment Losses
- Russian Ka-52 attack helicopter shot down in Sea of Azov, crew rescued. Visually confirmed loss of 43 out of 114 Ka-52s, devastating for Russia
- Russian Mi-8 helicopter landed in Ukraine by defecting Russian pilot, now in Ukrainian service. Conflicting stories over how this occurred
- Ukrainian UJ22 drone shot down by Russian Mi-28 helicopter over Black Sea
Challenges Faced by Russian Troops
- Leningrad regiment of mobilized soldiers from St Petersburg area complain of very poor equipment, ammunition shortages, half the regiment killed
- Given only 1 truck for 550 men, minimal food rations
- Even poorly trained, low morale Russian troops still pose a challenge to Ukrainian attackers
Ukrainian Losses and Challenges
- Pro-Ukrainian fighter reports heavy Ukrainian losses, especially from artillery and loitering munitions, not just direct combat
- Certain brigades have been at front almost a year without rotation, troops exhausted
- Ukraine has far smaller population than Russia so losses are proportionally more damaging
- Western equipment and support is vital to reduce Ukrainian casualties
- Draft law registered to cancel mobilization deferment for male students over 30
- 10 refrigerated containers being provided by Germany to store fallen Ukrainian soldiers, reflecting scale of losses
Strikes and Explosions
- Foreign Minister Kuleba states Ukraine has photographic evidence of Shahed drones falling on Romanian territory but unclear if they flew over Romania
- Explosions reported in Oleshky, Kherson Oblast
- Warehouses on fire again at Leningradsky train station in Moscow
Shortage of Ukrainian Su-24 Aircraft
- Su-24 is only Ukrainian aircraft capable of launching Storm Shadow and Scalp cruise missiles
- Only 6 Su-24s remain out of pre-war fleet of 23; 17 visually confirmed destroyed
- Su-24 is vital for long-range strikes on Russian targets but Russians have hunted them relentlessly
- If all Su-24s are lost, Ukraine will desperately need other aircraft capable of launching Western cruise missiles
- Debate whether minimally trained Ukrainian F-16 pilots could launch cruise missiles as interim capability
Other News
- Brave girl arrested in Moscow for wrapping herself in Ukrainian flag on Red Square
- Ukrainian economy recovering faster than expected, inflation forecast to decrease to 6% by 2025
- Russian propagandist Simonyan complains no Russian allies provide weapons or troops to help, repeats myth that USSR won WW2 alone
- Infamous Russian general Surovikin seen in public in civilian clothes, apparently resting
Wrap Up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching, asks them to like, subscribe and share. He will prepare the next video update.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No parts of the transcript were unclear to me.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Read through the entire transcript to get an overall sense of the content and topics covered
Identify the main topics/sections in the order they appear:
Hits and losses figures from Ukrainian General Staff
Visual confirmation of losses from Oryx
Losses reported by Andrew Perpetua
Specific equipment losses (Ka-52 helicopter, UJ22 drone)
Challenges faced by Russian troops (Leningrad regiment)
Ukrainian losses and challenges
Strikes and explosions
Shortage of Ukrainian Su-24 aircraft to launch Storm Shadow/Scalp missiles
Other news (protester in Moscow, Ukrainian economy, lack of allies helping Russia, Surovikin sighting)
Summarize each topic, providing key facts, figures, analysis and opinions from Jonathan
Use bullet points to clearly separate each topic summary
Bold key facts, figures or names for emphasis
Include Jonathan's opinions, insights and analysis
Maintain a neutral, factual tone
Use British English spelling and grammar
