Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Video on Youtube
Table of Contents 📖
"The dog's loyalty for its owner. It's just another reminder that, you know, everyday people, someone that worked in a petrol station is now no more. He's died defending this country. Why? Putin's why. Putin is why."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:04⏩
- Jonathan introduces the video and mentions he is feeling better, though not perfect, and is ready to create content.
🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian General Staff Figures for Russian Losses
🎦 00:04-00:33⏩
- Jonathan presents the Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses, noting a downtick possibly due to weather conditions.
- 1,315 Russian personnel were lost, which is still a high number.
- Other losses include 5 tanks, 7 troop-carrying vehicles, 3 artillery systems, 48 vehicles and fuel tanks, and 1 piece of special equipment.
- Jonathan mentions the usual caveats for these figures can be found in the video description.
Andrew Perpetua's List of Russian Losses
🎦 00:33-02:42⏩
- According to footage analysed by Andrew Perpetua (to whom Jonathan gives credit), 108 Russian personnel were caught on camera being lost.
- The overall loss ratio is about 3:1 or 4:1, Russian to Ukrainian losses.
- In terms of combat assets, it is roughly 1:1, with Russians losing more trucks and civilian vehicles.
Ukrainian Losses
🎦 02:42-04:50⏩
- Three Ukrainian tanks were lost, including two Leopards (one Leopard 2A6 abandoned after being hit by an FPV drone and one Leopard 2A4 damaged).
- One captured YPR-765 (Dutch modified M113 tracked APC) and a Bradley were abandoned after hitting a mine.
- Five IMVs (including Humvees), some MRAPs, and an APC were also lost.
- Jonathan notes that the M113, despite being an older vehicle, has performed well in Ukraine.
Russian Losses
🎦 04:50-06:27⏩
- Russian losses included many trucks, ATVs, and civilian vehicles.
- A TOS-1 thermobaric launcher and a TOS-2 were destroyed (footage of which was seen the previous day)
- A BM-21 Grad multiple launch rocket system, several tanks, BMPs, AFVs, IMVs, and APCs were also lost.
Andrew Perpetua on Russian Advances
🎦 06:27-07:44⏩
- Andrew Perpetua states that Russia is advancing south of Pokrovsk at a huge sacrifice, taking monstrous casualties for a small amount of land.
- Ukrainian forces are outnumbered but are effectively attriting Russian forces.
- The newly trained and equipped Anakiev unit is reportedly in the Donbas.
Andrew Perpetua on Russian Strategy
🎦 07:44-08:18⏩
- Andrew Perpetua argues it is not a good result for Russia to take such heavy casualties for minimal land gains, despite the defenders feeling overwhelmed.
- The Russian forces were supposed to achieve a significant breakthrough but have failed to do so.
Anton Gerashchenko on Russian Attacks in Kherson
🎦 08:18-09:33⏩
- Anton Gerashchenko reports that Russia is trying to make Kherson uninhabitable with brutal attacks on civilians.
- Russian occupiers claim this is practice for young drone operators.
- Many residents have fled the city due to the danger.
- Jonathan reflects on his visit to Kherson in February, noting the increased danger now compared to then.
Fires in Moscow
🎦 09:33-10:44⏩
- A large fire occurred at an enterprise producing decorative elements in Moscow, with an area of 150 square meters affected and gas cylinders inside.
- Two people were killed in an explosion at an industrial warehouse in Pushkino, Moscow region.
- The Kotetsky market in Russia caught fire; this is a well-known collection of independent traders celebrating its 75th anniversary.
Israeli Strikes on Syrian Military Assets
🎦 10:44-12:58⏩
- The Israeli Navy conducted a large-scale operation to destroy the former Assad regime's naval fleet in Syria.
- Numerous Syrian Navy vessels armed with CTC missiles were destroyed.
- The Israeli Air Force also struck air bases, destroying the entire fleet of airworthy fighter jets, including MiG-29s, in the Syrian Arab Air Force.
Enhanced Ukrainian Air Defence Capabilities
🎦 12:58-14:27⏩
- Euromaidan Press reports that Ukraine has significantly boosted its air defence capabilities.
- Interception rates for Russian missiles exceeded 40% in November, up from 8% in October.
- This improvement follows deliveries of air defence systems like Patriot, Iris-T, Hawk, and MANPADS from allies.
- Jonathan notes he has not seen any information on overnight drone attacks, suggesting there may not have been any.
US and EU Components in Russian Missiles
🎦 14:27-16:01⏩
- Missiles hitting Ukraine contain large numbers of US, EU, and allied components, including Chinese ones.
- Texas Instruments accounts for about 14% of components retrieved by Ukrainian authorities.
- Texas Instruments reportedly lacks compliance in customer screening and allows purchases without disclosing the end-user, unlike other chip makers.
- Dr. Maria Shagina criticises Texas Instruments for enabling Russia through lax controls.
Decrease in Russian Glide Bomb Use
🎦 16:01-18:20⏩
- Ewan McDonald reports that Russian glide bomb use is down, likely due to the threat of ATACMS and Storm Shadow.
- Russian fighter-bombers have had to relocate to bases further away, resulting in longer flight times and fewer bombing sorties.
- Jonathan criticises the Biden administration for imposing and adhering to their own red lines, suggesting that earlier use of ATACMS in Russia could have saved lives.
- Glide bomb usage peaked at the end of October and then significantly decreased throughout November and early December.
Possible Ukrainian Attacks on Engels Military Airport
🎦 18:20-18:54⏩
- There are rumours that Ukraine attacked the Engels military airport in the Saratov region, but the results are unknown.
- The governor admitted to the attack but claimed all drones were shot down with no damage.
Explosions in Yenakiieve, Donetsk Region
🎦 18:54-19:24⏩
- Explosions were reported in Yenakiieve, Donetsk region, possibly at an ammunition depot.
- Tim White notes that several houses were destroyed, but Russian channels have not reported on it yet.
Strike in Simferopol, Crimea
🎦 19:24-19:37⏩
- A large mushroom cloud was seen in Simferopol, Crimea, indicating something was struck.
Ukrainian Drone Strikes on Tendra Spit
🎦 19:37-20:12⏩
- Ukrainian kamikaze drones destroyed Russian equipment near the Tendra Spit in the Kherson region.
- The entire dock and repair zone were reported to be burning.
Zelensky's Estimate of Russian Troops in Ukraine
🎦 20:12-20:34⏩
- President Zelensky estimates that almost 800,000 Russian soldiers are in Ukraine.
- Jonathan expresses concern over the large number of Russian troops in occupied territories and emphasises the need for more support for Ukraine.
Potential Transfer of Russian Troops from Syria to Ukraine
🎦 20:34-21:26⏩
- Russia may transfer 6,000-7,500 troops from Syria to Ukraine, according to CBD head Kovalenko.
- Jonathan notes this could free up Russian resources but also potentially reduce their influence and financial gains from operations in Syria and Africa.
Russia Asks Turkey for Help Withdrawing Troops from Syria
🎦 21:26-22:19⏩
- Russia has asked Turkey to help withdraw troops from Syria, with plans to send them to areas with Turkish military units and then to Russia by sea.
- Jonathan finds it frustrating that rebels and Turks might facilitate Russia's exit from Syria, given their previous opposition to Russian presence.
Deployment of Anakiev Brigade in Donbas
🎦 22:19-22:47⏩
- The Anakiev Brigade, trained and equipped in France, has reportedly been deployed to the Donbas.
- They have French-supplied Caesar self-propelled guns, AMX light tanks, and VAB armoured personnel carriers.
Economic Emergency in Transnistria
🎦 22:47-23:13⏩
- Transnistria, a Russian-occupied part of Moldova, has declared an economic emergency due to potential disruption in Russian gas supplies.
- Ukraine is unwilling to renew the contract allowing Russian gas through the country next year.
- Free Moldova now buys gas from Europe.
Transnistria's Leverage Over Moldova
🎦 23:13-23:36⏩
- Transnistria used to blackmail Moldova with energy, having the largest gas-fired power plant.
- Now that Moldova is connected to the EU power network and Ukraine is cutting gas, Transnistria may be forced to come back to Moldova.
- Jonathan sees this as significant leverage for Moldova.
NVIDIA's Economic Troubles in Russia
🎦 23:36-24:31⏩
- NVIDIA, Russia's second-largest seller of consumer electronics, will start buying, refurbishing, and selling used phones due to the collapse of mobile phone sales.
- Jonathan suggests this indicates economic trouble for Russia, with sanctions and the tanking ruble making it difficult to obtain goods from abroad.
Jonathan's Request for Subscribers and a Touching Story
🎦 24:31-26:45⏩
- Jonathan asks viewers to subscribe to his channel to help reach 50,139 subscribers by January 2nd.
- He shares a story from Anton Gerashchenko about a dog named Lioshka (Lyoka) who has been waiting for two years at a gas station for his owner, Oleksii Savransky, who died in the Donetsk region in April 2023.
- The dog used to accompany Oleksii to work at the petrol station.
- Jonathan reflects on the loyalty of the dog and the human cost of the war.
- Jonathan ends the video with "Slava Ukrayini"
Wrap up
🎦 24:31-26:45⏩
- Jonathan asks viewers to subscribe to his channel to help reach 50,139 subscribers by January 2nd.
- He shares a touching story about a dog waiting for his deceased owner.
- Jonathan reflects on the loyalty of the dog and the human cost of the war.
- Jonathan ends the video with "Slava Ukrayini"
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
I was able to understand everything in the transcript and tasks.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Thought Process: TASK 1 - Title, Date, and Part Title Extraction: I need to remove the date and part from the YouTube video title. The date and part are enclosed in parentheses at the end. Date Extraction: The date is in YYYYMMDD format. I need to convert it to DD/MM/YYYY format. Part Extraction: The part is a letter immediately following the date. If no letter is present, the part is empty. TASK 2 - Topic Titles Identify Topics: I need to break down the transcript into distinct topics. Create Topic Titles: Each topic title should be a concise, specific, and quantified summary of the topic. First and Last Topics: The first topic will always be "Hello Team," and the last topic will be "Wrap up." Numbering: Topics should be numbered sequentially, starting from 1. Ukrainian Spellings: Ensure Ukrainian place names use Ukrainian spellings (e.g., Kyiv, Odesa). British English: Use British English throughout. Granularity: Separate topics by country/category/region/news item for better granularity. TASK 3 - Topic Timestamps Identify Timestamps: Find the start and end timestamps for each topic in the transcript. Format: Timestamps should be in MM:SS or HH:MM:SS format. Multiple Timeframes: If a topic appears in multiple timeframes, separate them with commas. Accuracy: Ensure timestamps match the transcript exactly. Verification: Use this task to double-check Task 2, ensuring no large gaps in the timeline. TASK 4 - Topic Summaries Context: Provide sufficient context for each topic. Formatting: Use bullet points, numbered lists, bold, italics, and underline sparingly for emphasis (using markdown). Credits: Include sources and credits mentioned by Jonathan. Opinions: Include Jonathan's opinions and perspectives. Insights and Analysis: Convey Jonathan's insights, analysis, and philosophy effectively. Corrections: Correct any spelling mistakes, misheard words, or hesitations in the transcript. Ukrainian Spellings: Ensure Ukrainian place names use Ukrainian spellings (e.g., Kyiv, Odesa). British English: Use British English throughout. User Comments: Consider including user comments if Jonathan provides a detailed response. Personality: Convey Jonathan's personality, humanity, and humor as appropriate. Mapping Updates: Jonathan uses maps from Andrew Perpetua, Suriyak Maps, and occasionally Deepstate Maps. Commonly Misspelled Sources: Artur Rehi, Special Kherson Cat. TASK 5 - Quote Selection: Choose a significant, meaningful, thought-provoking, poignant, or hilarious quote from Jonathan. Conciseness: Ensure the quote is concise and makes sense out of context. Corrections: Correct any spelling mistakes, misheard words, or hesitations in the transcript. TASK 6 - Queries Identify Issues: Record any unclear aspects of the tasks or transcripts. Honesty: Be honest about anything not understood to avoid incorrect assumptions. Improvement: Use this information to improve future transcripts.
