Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Is this liberty? The state of being free within society from oppressive restrictions imposed by authority on one's way of life, behaviour or political views. Right. Correct me if I'm wrong. Russia doesn't have liberty, does it?"
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on his audio setup and mentions he is still working on improving it. He notes that time is flying by.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian general staff figures for Russian losses: 470 personnel, 23 tanks, 9 APVs, 23 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 4 drones, 33 vehicles/fuel tanks, 1 special equipment
- 23 tanks is a huge number. Footage of a T-90 tank being destroyed by a loitering munition.
- Drones are a real psychological threat to troops and vehicles.
- Analysis shows huge losses of Russian tank variants, with some down to only 4-6% remaining.
- Figures from OSINT mapper Andrew Perpetua also show significant Russian losses.
Attacks on Russian Airbases & Crimea
- Two IL-76 transport planes confirmed destroyed at Pskov airbase. Possibly up to 6 IL-76 and 1 TU-22 bomber destroyed in total.
- Poor air defences at Pskov - soldiers firing machine guns at drones in the dark.
- Explosions and gunfire reported again at Feodosia, Crimea which has been consistently hit recently.
Drone Attacks on Moscow Region
- Drones spotted in Moscow region for 3rd time in one day, including near main Russian air defences.
- Ukraine claims a drone attack caused a fire at a factory producing missile electronics. Russia claims all drones were shot down.
Oppression in Russia
- 61-year old Natalia Filonova jailed for 2 years 10 months in Russia for "violence against 4 security officials" at an anti-mobilisation rally.
- Jonathan questions if this is "liberty" and states Russia does not have liberty. Tells pro-Kremlin voices not to criticise Ukraine's freedoms when they live in a "glass house".
- Russia making it mandatory for schools to repeat official lies about the war, removing questions on democracy from exams. Students must answer according to propaganda in new textbooks or face consequences.
Crimean Child's Message
A message in a bottle from a child in Russian-occupied Crimea was found on a Ukrainian-controlled beach. The child wrote that their family is waiting to be released from the Russians and that Crimea is Ukraine. Shows there are still people in Crimea who support Ukraine.
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Ukrainian Counter-Offensive Progress
- Ukraine has penetrated Russia's main defensive line for the first time according to the Wall Street Journal. Ukrainian forces working to expand the breach.
- Western officials cautiously optimistic Ukraine can retake occupied city of Tokmak, a key Russian logistics hub.
- Debate over whether NATO should be advising/criticising Ukraine's counter-offensive. Jonathan shares opinions from Phillips O'Brien and Gen. Mark Hertling on this issue.
Assassination Attempts on Zelensky
According to Ukraine's intelligence chief Budanov, Russia has made several serious attempts to assassinate President Zelensky. Budanov himself has survived around 14 assassination attempts. Jonathan marvels at Zelensky's bravery in still travelling and meeting people despite the constant danger.
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Russian Hacking of Ukrainian Soldiers
CNN reports that according to Five Eyes intelligence, Russian hackers have attacked the mobile devices of Ukrainian soldiers to try to learn about Ukraine's military plans. This is a concern Ukraine needs to mitigate against.
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Wrap Up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video. He will continue with a Part 2.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
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Extract key information from the video transcript
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