Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"They [the soldiers] are fighting for their lives and a stalemate can be incredibly violent. They can be shelling all around. There could be people dying and being injured left right and centre - it's just that there's no movement, no change of control through the maps."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:13⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another frontline update, reminding them about the map key and thanking JR for map updates. He acknowledges missing some details from Deep State Map and apologizes.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Czech President: Ukraine Unlikely to Recapture Territory Soon
🎦 00:13-02:31⏩
Jonathan discusses Czech President Peter Pavel's statement that Ukraine is unlikely to reclaim Russian-occupied territories in the foreseeable future. Despite being a staunch Ukraine supporter, Pavel believes this is a realistic assessment. Jonathan agrees, citing the recent counteroffensive's limited success and potential delays in US aid. He emphasizes the need for a realistic outlook, acknowledging the significant resources Ukraine requires for a complete victory.
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Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna Frontline
🎦 02:31-05:26⏩
- Russians make slight gains north of Brestva, taking Kirokmakna.
- Deep State Map shows additional Russian advances south of this area.
- No changes in the Sinkivka area, where Russian progress has been limited.
- Syriac Maps indicate Ukrainian gains north of Bilohorivka, though details are unclear.
- Jonathan notes the challenging topography around Bilohorivka, with its quarry, hills, and elevated positions favouring the Ukrainians to the west.
- Russians appear to control the eastern tree lines according to most mappers.
- Bilohorivka itself remains contested.
Bakhmut Frontline Update
🎦 05:26-07:11⏩
- Ukrainians are under pressure in the Veselya area north of Bakhmut, with Syriac Maps suggesting more extensive Russian control than Deep State Map or Andrew Perpetua.
- Veselya appears contested.
- Jonathan speculates that discrepancies between mappers may be due to updated satellite imagery analysis, revealing Ukrainian positions further forward than previously thought.
- No changes around Klishchiivka, although Jonathan acknowledges he's skipping detailed analysis due to time constraints.
Avdiivka: Russian Shelling and Tunnel Warfare
🎦 07:11-12:26⏩
- Satellite imagery reveals significant shelling in southern Avdiivka and Bakhmut.
- Emil Kastehelmi reports Russian breaches of Ukrainian defenses in Avdiivka, although the Ukrainians claim to have repelled the attack.
- Heavy fighting around the Zenit position, which houses a nuclear bunker, but Ukraine remains in control, contradicting earlier reports from Syriac Maps.
- Jonathan criticizes Syriac Maps for not acknowledging errors promptly.
- Reports and footage indicate Russians are using tunnels and sewers to infiltrate Avdiivka's southern areas, potentially explaining their success in bypassing fortified areas.
- A Ukrainian soldier, using the name "Sen Yuri," describes Russians entering Avdiivka through a tunnel for the second time, utilizing pipes in their rear.
- He alleges the Russians succeeded on their third attempt, overcoming flooding and ventilation issues, with 150 soldiers traversing 2km of tunnels to emerge behind Ukrainian lines, resulting in lost positions.
- Jonathan highlights the significance of tunnel warfare in Avdiivka and expresses sympathy for the Ukrainian defenders.
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Marinka and Southern Front Update
🎦 12:26-13:36⏩
- Minor gains for both sides around Marinka.
- Deep State Map indicates slight Russian advances, while Ukrainian gains are noted on the edge towards Heorhiivka.
- North of Marinka, Russians see some gains.
- It's unclear if these changes are rejigs from previous days.
- No significant movements reported in Zaporizhzhia or the Vuhledar area.
- Jonathan reminds viewers that a lack of movement on the map doesn't equate to a lack of fighting, emphasizing the ongoing violence and casualties in a stalemate.
Wrap up
🎦 13:36-14:16⏩
- Jonathan thanks JR for the map updates.
- He expresses gratitude for the support received on various platforms.
- He acknowledges his members, promising a poll to gather their opinions.
- Jonathan mentions an upcoming "Extra" video recorded a couple of days prior, apologizing for any repeated information.