Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Ukrainian government is going to be desperate for stuff to happen, the west is going to be the government's going to be desperate for stuff to happen, and then these private defense companies will come in and say, 'Well, okay, it's going to cost you this much.'"
Hello Team!
Jonathan starts the video by discussing the Russian losses for the previous day according to the Ukrainian General Staff figures. He notes it was another fairly bad day for Russia, with 600 liquidated personnel, losses of tanks, APVs, artillery systems, MLRS, and other equipment. He highlights that the Russians seem to be losing a significant amount of artillery pieces daily.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses and Situation in Occupied Territories
- The exiled mayor from Lysychansk reports that all medical facilities in the occupied city have been repurposed as military hospitals for Russian troops, indicating heavy casualties in that area.
- A Patriot air defense system has been shooting down Russian fighter jets and helicopters, as evidenced by markings on the side of the Patriot launcher. The German Patriot battery has been roaming around Ukraine's east and south to engage these targets.
- Last night, Ukrainian air defenses shot down 13 out of 17 drones launched by Russia from an airbase in Krasnodar Oblast. The airbase was hit the previous day, likely by Storm Shadow missiles, leaving a massive crater.
Prigozhin and Wagner
- Russian state TV reports that Wagner received over $10 billion in the last seven years, on top of another $10 billion Prigozhin's company Concord received for food procurement. This makes Wagner a state-financed elite force, not a private company, and Russia a state sponsor of terrorism.
- Wagner has announced a one-month suspension of recruitment due to their temporary non-participation in the "special military operation" and move to Belarus.
- Prigozhin's business empire is being dismantled rapidly. Concord lost its military food supply contract, and thousands of staff have been made redundant, many without severance pay. Prigozhin's media group has also shut down virtually overnight.
Military Aid and Issues
- German Chancellor Scholz states Germany does not want to supply Ukraine with weapons that can attack Russia, specifically mentioning long-range Taurus missiles. Jonathan points out the inconsistency in this reasoning, as many weapons already provided have the capability to strike Russian territory.
- There are delays in setting up a tank repair hub in Poland for Ukraine due to the Polish company PGZ demanding astronomical prices for diagnosis and repairs.
- President Zelensky mentions delays in the schedule for F-16 pilot training, suggesting some partners are responsible. The cause of the delay is unclear, but it needs to be resolved quickly.
Front Line Update
- Ukraine has liberated 9 sq km in the east (Bakhmut area) and 28.4 sq km in the south over the past week. Heavy battles continue, with tactical successes and progress on Bakhmut's southern flank, but slower progress on the northern flank due to Russian reinforcements.
- Russian sources report heavy fighting near Robotyne, with Ukrainian forces making some advances. A Russian mil-blogger claims Ukrainian forces penetrated 300m on one flank in Robotyne.
- The situation around the Antonivsky Bridge in Kherson remains difficult for Russian forces, contrary to Russian MoD claims.
Geopolitics
- Shell is still trading Russian gas despite pledging to withdraw from the Russian energy market. They were involved in nearly 1/8th of Russian seaborne gas exports in 2022. While Shell claims these trades are due to long-term contractual commitments and do not violate sanctions, a Ukrainian presidential advisor accuses them of accepting "blood money."
- President Biden will visit the UK, attend the NATO summit in Lithuania, and meet with the Swedish PM to discuss various issues, including support for Ukraine. His attendance at the NATO summit is seen as a positive sign that something tangible has been agreed upon regarding Ukraine and NATO.
Wrap up
Jonathan concludes the video by thanking viewers for watching and their support. He encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video.
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