Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid News
Table of Contents 📖
"North Koreans I think are a game changer because they are just human beings that can be thrown at Ukraine to take more and more land"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:11⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics video on the Ukraine War News update for 24/11/2024 part 2. He mentions that the video will cover Military Aid and will discuss US stockpiles later.
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US Close to Decision on Long-Range Missiles for Ukraine
🎦 00:11-00:33⏩
Reuters reports that the US is close to a decision regarding long-range missiles for Ukraine (likely JASM cruise missiles) although delivery could take months. Ukraine urgently needs cruise missiles and has been using UK Storm Shadow/French and Italian Scalp missiles. Italy will not allow Ukraine to fire missiles deep into Russian territory.
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Discussion on Potential Backlash in the US about Missile use by Ukraine
🎦 00:34-02:30⏩
Jonathan believes there may be backlash in the US (mentioning Joe Rogan and Jake Brough) about providing JASM cruise missiles due to the pro-russian narrative on missile use by Ukraine. Jonathan feels a corrective is needed and highlights that it is counterproductive at a time when the outgoing US administration should be helping Ukraine.
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France Reiterates Position on Red Lines
🎦 02:31-03:56⏩
Jonathan mentions a Kiev Independent article reporting on a BBC interview with the French Foreign Minister reiterating the French position that Western allies should not be accepting red lines imposed by themselves about escalation or giving restrictions about weapons use. France is ok with Ukraine using Scalp EGs in Russia.
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Discussion on Joe Rogan's Narrative on Ukraine Military Aid and US Taxpayer Burden
🎦 03:56-06:38⏩
Jonathan reads a user comment (Viggo Holmsten) about Joe Rogan's narrative on Ukraine. Viggo's comment highlights that Rogan's position is that US taxpayer money is propping up Ukraine when it's stimulating the US economy. Jonathan agrees and states that this point needs to be reiterated. He is frustrated that commentators like Rogan blame the war on NATO/US and never mention Russia's war crimes or Putin's culpability. He believes that many commentators do not examine the causality of the war and that it's driven by an anti-establishment/deep state agenda. Jonathan states that the advantages of supporting Ukraine and its importance geopolitically needs to be conveyed. He believes nobody has done a good job explaining this and that it is in the US's best interests to support Ukraine.
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Update on German Leopard 1 Tanks Delivered to Ukraine
🎦 06:39-07:17⏩
Jonathan notes that Germany has delivered 88 Leopard 1 Tanks to Ukraine (referencing Andrew Perpetua's lost list) with 47 more pledged. He acknowledges that the tanks are old but likely refurbished and better than their Russian equivalents.
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Russia Running out of Men and Recruiting Homeless/Alcoholics and Foreign Mercenaries (Yemen/North Korea)
🎦 07:17-10:47⏩
Jonathan discusses how Russia is running out of men and how military commissars are recruiting homeless/alcoholics. He uses an example of a Russian supermarket employing African men due to labour shortages caused by the war. He mentions a Financial Times article which states that Russia is recruiting Yemeni mercenaries using deceptive tactics and sending them to the front line. Jonathan notes that using foreigners and unsuitable personnel means there is less internal political pressure in Russia than sending their own citizens to die.
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Discussion about the Effectiveness of Russia's Oreshnik Missile and Claims About Damage Caused
🎦 10:48-12:40⏩
Jonathan references War Translated and how Russian bloggers are questioning the effectiveness of the Oreshnik missile. The Yuzhmash plant in Dnipro which was targeted did not sustain much damage, contrary to claims by Putin.
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Russia Launching North Korean Missiles With Western Components
🎦 12:40-13:14⏩
Russia has been launching North Korean KM23 missiles at Ukraine which contain Western components (CNN). Jonathan highlights the hypocrisy of critics who are silent about this but are quick to condemn Ukraine for using Western-supplied missiles.
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Comparison of Russian and EU Weapons Production Capacity
🎦 13:14-16:34⏩
Jonathan discusses Boris Pistorius's (German Defence Minister) comments that Russia produces as many weapons in 3 months as the EU does in a year. He highlights that a potential lack of support from a future Trump administration would mean Europe would have to increase support significantly. This would result in a large capacity gap between Russian and European production.
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Discussion about the Importance of US Military Aid and a Potential Hiatus in Support
🎦 16:34-19:00⏩
Jonathan recounts a conversation he had with "Pierre" about the importance of consistent US Military Aid. He is worried about a potential reduction in support from a future Trump administration and does not believe the EU can fill the gap. He believes there would be shortages like the 7 month hiatus in US aid previously. He uses Covert Cabal's analysis of a Russian tank base to illustrate the depletion of Russian military equipment.
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North Korean Troops are a Game Changer - Discussion and Rebuttal of User Comments
🎦 19:00-25:41⏩
Jonathan believes that North Korean troops are a game changer and that Russia is becoming desperate. If Ukraine had the resources they could counter attack and Russia would likely crumble. Russia is taking territory because Ukraine is exhausted and stretched, waiting for reserves. He believes the most likely way for Ukraine to succeed is an economic collapse of Russia. Jonathan reads and addresses a user comment (David Himmelsbach) who believes that North Korean troops are ineffective and easily distracted by Western vices. He agrees but believes they are still a useful meat shield. He addresses another comment suggesting that Putin will be overthrown soon and that Russia is economically collapsing. He believes this will happen but that Russia will try to gain as much territory before this happens. He reiterates that the next 2 months are vital.
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Wrap Up
🎦 25:41-25:44⏩
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and for the well thought out comments.
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