Ukraine War BREAKING NEWS: Ukraine Mounts a New Counter-Attack in Kursk!
Table of Contents 📖
"The calculation is far more important that they keep this Russian land than they don't lose Ukrainian land."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:12⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a breaking news update on the Ukraine War, focusing on a significant Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region on January 5th, 2025.
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Ukrainian Offensive in Kursk: Initial Reports
🎦 00:12-02:21⏩
- Ukrainians launch a large-scale attack in the Kursk region, potentially a counter-offensive.
- The focus is around Martinovka, Bolshoi-Soldatskoia, and Leonidivka.
- Russians acknowledge a major offensive is underway.
- Ukrainian forces have achieved some initial successes.
- Footage shows armoured convoys moving in the area.
Ukrainian Advance and Russian Denials
🎦 02:21-04:03⏩
- Ukrainian forces reportedly regain momentum in Kursk, initiating offensive operations. - Russians deny the reports of a Ukrainian offensive. - Ukrainian units are reportedly moving towards the settlement of Bolshoi. - The situation is described as "tense," with no clear indication of the main attack direction. - There is a dispute over whether Ukrainians have taken control of the village of Burdin.
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Ukrainian Confirmation and Analysis
🎦 04:03-05:56⏩
- Andriy Yermak, Head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, confirms the offensive with a cryptic tweet: "Kursk, good news, Russia is getting what it deserves."
- Jonathan analyses the situation: sending large armoured columns is risky for Ukraine, suggesting a possible drone and electronic warfare advantage. He speculates that Ukraine is concentrating its resources in areas where troop movements appear normal to maintain the element of surprise.
Strategic Considerations and Potential Objectives
🎦 05:56-07:29⏩
- Jonathan suggests that Ukraine's objective might be to secure the Kursk salient before January 20th to prevent further Russian advances.
- He speculates that Ukraine might be trying to force a Russian reaction and relieve pressure on other areas.
- Jonathan notes that Zelensky has recently emphasized the importance of Kursk, indicating its strategic significance for Ukraine.
- There are rumours about a potential Ukrainian attack across the border elsewhere.
- Jonathan mentions the possibility of an attack near Tetkino, but questions the rationale of dividing forces.
Russian Response: Air Power and Electronic Warfare
🎦 07:29-09:00⏩
- Russian aviation is heavily engaged in repelling the Ukrainian attacks in Kursk.
- Footage shows trails of Russian aircraft in the sky.
- More videos surface of Ukrainian columns attempting to advance into Russian positions in the Kursk region.
Fighting Intensifies, Russian Reports, and Disinformation
🎦 09:00-11:07⏩
- Heavy fighting reported near or in Burdin.
- Serhiy Stenenko, a Ukrainian volunteer, reports simultaneous Russian attacks across the Sumy border, potentially deep reconnaissance groups.
- Jonathan recounts an incident where Russians shot up a car with a brother and sister inside, just five kilometers from the frontline in Sumy.
- Russian milblogger "Kotanok" claims heavy losses for Ukraine while acknowledging the advance near Sudjia, Berdino, Bolshoi-Sogotskoia, and Pushkarnoia.
- Russian air defense is very active in the Kursk region, with traces of them chasing a Ukrainian air target.
- Conflicting reports emerge from Russian channels about the situation near Burdin, with some claiming a Ukrainian landing of 70 personnel in the forest south of the village.
- Jonathan highlights the prevalence of disinformation, emphasizing the difficulty in getting accurate information.
- Russian channels urge against panic and discouragements, claiming that both advances and retreats are part of a larger strategy.
Tetkino: Renewed Attacks and Strategic Significance
🎦 11:07-11:39⏩
- Vladimir Novikov, a pro-Russian militia leader, confirms Ukrainian tactical successes, stating that they have entered Burdin and are trying to encircle Tetkino.
- More videos show Ukrainian columns on the move in the Kursk region.
- Ukrainian units are also attacking towards Tetkino, confirming earlier reports.
- Jonathan provides context on Tetkino's location, its strategic importance, and previous Ukrainian attempts to encircle it.
- Russian sources highlight the difficulty for Ukraine in this direction, but acknowledge their use of mine-clearing trawls, tanks, and other armoured vehicles.
Electronic Warfare Dominance
🎦 11:39-12:29⏩
- Russians complain about extensive Ukrainian electronic warfare, rendering many of their drones useless.
- Jonathan stresses the importance of electronic warfare dominance for the success of such large-scale attacks.
- Russian sources call for fibre optic drones to counter Ukrainian electronic warfare.
- Footage shows a Russian drone feed being cut off when approaching a Ukrainian vehicle due to electronic warfare.
Russian Accounts and Observations
🎦 12:29-13:35⏩
- Various Russian sources describe the situation in Kursk, with some acknowledging the Ukrainian offensive while others downplay it.
- A Russian soldier's message from the frontline expresses a mix of anxiety and determination: "The enemy went on a breakthrough. We will wait, endure, wait, endure and destroy."
- A Russian source confirms the enemy offensive from Sudjia towards Bolshoi-Solodotskoye, highlighting the use of mine-clearing equipment, tanks, and armoured vehicles. They admit the effectiveness of Ukrainian electronic warfare.
- Another source reports an offensive in Leonidovo, where Russian paratroopers are engaged in fighting.
Analysis and Uncertainty
🎦 13:35-14:09⏩
- Mick Ryan, a retired Australian general, advises caution, noting that initial reports are often inaccurate. He suggests it will take 24-48 hours for a clearer picture to emerge.
- Head of CPD, Kovalenko, a Ukrainian source, says Russians in Kursk are distressed due to the multi-directional surprise attack.
- Jonathan reiterates Yermak's tweet, "Kursk, good news, Russia is getting what it deserves," highlighting the uncertainty and need to wait for more information.
Speculation on Ukrainian Goals
🎦 14:09-15:35⏩
- Some Russians claim Ukraine's goal is to reach the Kursk nuclear power plant, but Jonathan dismisses this as unrealistic.
- Jonathan believes a more plausible objective is to secure the Kursk salient and prevent further Russian gains, while also forcing them to react and potentially divert resources. He acknowledges that this is his personal analysis and might not reflect the actual situation.
Kimburn Spit Update
🎦 15:35-17:11⏩
- Jonathan shifts focus to Kimburn Spit, where Russians claim things are not going well.
- He provides geographical context, differentiating between the Kimburn Peninsula and the spit.
- A Russian source from the 61st Separatist Brigade reports increased losses in recent weeks, attributing it to commanders pressuring them into pointless, suicidal assaults.
- The source describes a desperate situation where soldiers are feigning injuries or resorting to self-inflicted wounds to avoid fighting.
Speculation on Kimburn Spit Activity
🎦 17:11-18:08⏩
- Jonathan speculates that the reported losses might be related to Ukrainian attacks on Russian boats in the Dnipro River delta, rather than assaults on the spit itself.
- He recalls previous failed Ukrainian attempts to land on the spit and questions the likelihood of a renewed attack, although acknowledges its strategic potential.
Kursk Offensive: Significance and Implications
🎦 18:08-18:29⏩
- Jonathan returns to the main news of the day - the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk.
- He emphasizes the significance of the offensive, suggesting that Ukraine considers holding onto captured Russian territory in Kursk more critical than defending some of their own territory in the Prokrosk region.
- Jonathan interprets the offensive as a sign of Kursk's strategic importance for Ukraine.
Wrap Up
🎦 18:29-18:33⏩
- Jonathan encourages viewers to share their thoughts and announces his upcoming video on hits and losses.
- He thanks his viewers and signs off.