Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Table of Contents 📖
"It's an absolute disgrace so elon musk i'm not a fan of him as well you know and he continues to be a first-rate plonker right."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:07⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to his first part of the Ukraine War News update for 24th August 2024. He starts with the Ukrainian General Staff's figures for Russian losses for the previous day, which show a significant personnel loss of 1,160, above the daily average in other categories. Jonathan mentions that Andrew Perpetua hasn't released his loss list yet, so he can't confirm or support any of the claims.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Airbase Hit
🎦 01:08-04:00⏩
Jonathan discusses an incident at Marinovka Airfield in the Volgograd region, where there were significant explosions. While some claim the damaged aircraft were non-operational, scorch marks suggest destroyed aircraft may have been removed. Reports indicate six Su aircraft were either damaged or destroyed, including a Su-34 and Su-24 completely destroyed in the repair zone. Two Su-34s were likely damaged in hangars 5 and 6, and a Su-24 was likely damaged in hangar 7. There's a high chance several aircraft were destroyed in the hangars, with potential damage from other parts of the airbase.
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Damage to Airbase Infrastructure
🎦 04:01-04:14⏩
Jonathan emphasizes the damage caused to the airbase infrastructure, including likely destruction of ordnance, fuels and lubricants, and aircraft within the hangars. He highlights the potential for a successful strike on the airbase.
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S-300 Missile System Destroyed near Mariupol
🎦 04:14-04:29⏩
Jonathan mentions a report about the destruction of an S-300 missile system near Mariupol, however, this is unconfirmed and lacks evidence. He expresses hope that evidence will surface soon.
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Uragan MLRS Destroyed in Belgorod Region
🎦 04:29-05:09⏩
A BM-27 Uragan multiple launch rocket system in the Belgorod region (north of Kharkiv) was destroyed by a kamikaze drone, as evidenced by footage. Jonathan highlights the effectiveness of the drone in destroying the MLRS.
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Dutch YPR-765 Personnel Carrier Captured by Russians
🎦 05:09-06:20⏩
Jonathan discusses the capture and subsequent use of a Dutch-modified YPR-765 personnel carrier by the Russians in an attack on Ukrainian positions. He mentions that while rare, cases of Russians using captured Western equipment have been documented before, and highlights the importance of documenting these incidents.
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Crimean Wind Reports on Fuel Delivery to Crimea
🎦 06:20-07:57⏩
Jonathan cites a telegram channel from Crimea, 'Crimean Wind', regarding the fuel delivery situation to Crimea following a strike on the Conroe Trader Ferry. The channel reports that all three existing tankers are now inoperable, with fuel transportation across the bridge halted since previous strikes. They mention the prior damage to the ferry Avant-garde on May 30th and the damage to Slavanyin on July 23rd. They recommend Crimeans stock up on fuel or switch to electric transport.
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Rob Lee Reports on ATACMs
🎦 07:57-09:28⏩
Jonathan reports on Rob Lee's observations regarding ATACMs, noting their effectiveness and the success of Russia in shooting them down. He cites a Politico article that claims the Ukrainians may have a limited supply of these missiles, and they might not be able to reach critical Russian targets due to their relocation and Russia's defensive measures.
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Distance Strikes in Ukraine
🎦 09:28-10:10⏩
Jonathan reports on distance strikes in Ukraine, noting the absence of Shahed drones overnight. He discusses a Russian Tu-22M3 long-range bomber attack on southern Ukraine, firing four Kh-22 cruise missiles at Snake Island, south of Odessa. He also mentions Russian strikes on the Kherson region with guided bombs.
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Ukrainian Air Defence Successes
🎦 10:10-10:10⏩
Jonathan highlights the successful interception of five reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian air defence forces, including Zalas, Lancets, Supercam, All Antenna, and Merlin.
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Ammunition Depot Explosion in Voronezh Region
🎦 10:10-11:18⏩
Jonathan reports on a significant explosion at a munition storage facility in Ostrogorsk, Voronezh region, Russia. While some sources claim it was a Neptune missile strike, most attribute it to drones. Jonathan hopes this will deprive Russian forces of needed ammunition.
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Oil Depots Under Attack
🎦 11:18-11:54⏩
Jonathan discusses ongoing attacks on oil depots in Russia, with the depot in Rostov still burning. He highlights the use of "cope cages" to protect the depots, but he's unsure of their effectiveness. He shows footage of the fires in Rostov and the risks posed to passing trains.
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Fire in Proletarsk
🎦 11:54-12:18⏩
Jonathan reports on a fire engulfing the entire Chepayev street in Proletarsk, near the burning fuel depot in Rostov. Authorities claim the two fires are unconnected and suspect arson, highlighting the severe impact of the fires on the nearby town.
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New Ukrainian Missile Drone, Palyanitsa
🎦 12:18-13:30⏩
Jonathan reports on the first use of a new Ukrainian-produced missile drone, 'Palyanitsa,' against the Russians, announced by Zelensky. He suggests that this could have been the weapon used in the Voronezh ammunition depot explosion, as little is known about the drone.
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Prisoner Revolt in Volgograd Region
🎦 13:30-14:58⏩
Jonathan discusses a disturbing incident where prisoners took control of VKk19 prison colony in Volgograd, Russia, resulting in the deaths of several employees and hostages. He mentions the rebels' demands for two million dollars and a helicopter. Russian propagandists label the rebels as Islamists, while other sources suggest the riot was sparked by abuse of Muslims by Russian guards. Jonathan finds the footage horrific and emphasizes the dangers of seeking it out.
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Russian Orthodox Church Banned in Ukraine
🎦 14:58-15:44⏩
Jonathan reports on Zelensky signing a law banning the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine, prohibiting religious organizations associated with the Russian church. He argues this is a matter of national security, as the Russian Orthodox Church has been acting as an arm of the FSB and KGB, with Patriarch Kirill, a former KGB agent, at its helm. He emphasizes that this is not anti-religious but a necessity to prevent further Russian influence.
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US Hesitates to Lift Restrictions on Long-Range Weapon Strikes in Russia
🎦 15:44-17:05⏩
Jonathan cites a Euromaidan Press article reporting that the US is hesitant to lift restrictions on long-range weapon strikes in Russia, despite the success of Ukrainian forces in Kursk. He quotes Biden administration officials expressing concern that lifting restrictions could hinder future normalization of relations with Moscow. Jonathan finds this highly controversial and questions the administration's priorities.
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US Discusses Supporting Ukrainian Offensive in Kursk
🎦 17:05-17:44⏩
Jonathan reports on a Washington Post article detailing the Biden administration's discussions on supporting the Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region. He highlights the Pentagon's inquiries about Ukrainian needs to ensure offensive success, but notes no decisions have been made regarding material support. He also mentions the US's open possibility of transferring F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine in the future.
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Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant on the Verge of Blackout
🎦 17:44-18:25⏩
Jonathan discusses the near blackout at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, due to a Russian attack that disconnected the power supply from Ukraine's energy grid. He mentions the plant's previous issues and its contentious status between Russia and Ukraine.
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Elon Musk Blocks Bellingcat Investigation into Russian Missile Attack on Kyiv Children's Hospital
🎦 18:25-19:35⏩
Jonathan reports on Elon Musk's Twitter blocking a Bellingcat investigation into a Russian missile attack on a Kyiv Children's Hospital. He quotes Elliot Higgins from Bellingcat, expressing his disappointment with Musk's actions, highlighting the importance of Bellingcat's work in exposing Russian propaganda and the significance of the blocked investigation. Jonathan criticizes Musk's actions, deeming him a "plonker" for engaging in propaganda.
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Russian Looting in Glushushkovo
🎦 19:35-20:13⏩
Jonathan highlights the ongoing looting by the Russian army in Glushushkovo, a Russian town in the Kursk region, which was captured by Ukraine earlier. He points to CCTV footage of Russian soldiers plundering a Wildberry warehouse, the Russian equivalent of Amazon. He emphasizes the hypocrisy of the Russian army looting their own territory.
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Russian Atrocities
🎦 20:13-21:30⏩
Jonathan discusses the ongoing atrocities committed by Russian forces in Ukraine. He cites examples like the cutting off of a dead Russian soldier's hand, discarding bodies, and torturing Ukrainian prisoners. He condemns the Russian army's actions, noting their blatant disregard for human life and morality.
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Darren Massico on Conscript Disappearances in Kursk Region
🎦 21:30-23:30⏩
Jonathan reports on Darren Massico's response to a Medusa article regarding the disappearance of Russian conscripts in the Kursk region. He mentions the lack of support offered by Russian authorities and the pressure placed on families to stay silent. He notes that while conscripts were previously used sparingly, the Kremlin has increasingly relied on them in combat, breaking its previous social contracts with society. Jonathan points to the upcoming draft in August 2024 and the potential for more conscripts to be sent into battle, highlighting the risks to these young soldiers.
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Russian Concerns about Ukrainian Offensive
🎦 23:30-24:57⏩
Jonathan reports on Russian sources claiming Ukrainian forces are concentrating in the Zaporizhzhia region for a combined air and ground attack on the Kimburn Peninsula and Tokmak. He attributes this paranoia to the invasion of Kursk, with Russians expressing concerns about a potential Ukrainian offensive. He emphasizes the potential for Ukrainian tactics to force Russian forces into a game of whack-a-mole, shifting reserves from one front to another.
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Ukrainian Naval Activity in Odessa Region
🎦 24:57-25:50⏩
Jonathan cites reports of a significant movement of watercraft in the Odessa area, including over 200 units, suggesting a large-scale Ukrainian naval presence. He reports on information indicating Ukrainian preparation for a massive attack on infrastructure in Crimea, including bridges, energy facilities, communication towers, and ports. Russian sources estimate over 40 drones ready for launch, followed by potential missile strikes.
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Potential Ukrainian Offensive Across the Dnipro River
🎦 25:50-27:02⏩
Jonathan discusses information circulating on Telegram channels claiming Ukrainian plans to launch an offensive across the Dnipro River, along with attacks from the Kimburn Peninsula and Tendraskaya Spit. He emphasizes that this could be speculation, but it highlights the potential for various landing zones for Ukrainian forces.
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Wrap Up
🎦 27:02-27:03⏩
Jonathan signs off, thanking his viewers for their support and promising to speak to them soon.
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