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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Sunday, 12th March 2023, 13:53
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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"If those two figures are in the same, you know, from the same type of data or from the same data set, then that tells you that Bakhmut is responsible for half the losses on the entire front line."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides the usual caveats about the accuracy of Ukrainian figures on Russian losses, but notes they are indicative and useful. Russian personnel losses have ticked back up to record numbers in the last couple days, with strikes taking place behind the lines with HIMARS and possibly Vilkha M. Mariupol airport was hit.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Losses

  • 1,090 Russian personnel were liquidated, a huge number
  • 8 tanks, 7 APCs, 4 artillery systems, 2 anti-aircraft systems lost
  • 535 Russians killed and wounded in Bakhmut alone, according to Ukrainian spokesman
  • If accurate, this means Bakhmut is responsible for half the losses on the entire front line
  • Russia is losing more soldiers per day than in the Korean and Vietnam wars combined
  • 122 tanks lost in February according to Oryx, more than many nations' entire militaries
  • Losses are 30-40 times higher in eastern regions vs Moscow, with ethnic minorities hit hardest


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Strikes and Drone Attacks

  • 2 Russian Gvozdika self-propelled howitzers targeted and damaged by likely HIMARS strike in Donetsk
  • Kraken unit destroyed 2 Russian observation towers in Bryansk and Kursk regions using ATGMs
  • Russian depot blown up near Svatove, likely by HIMARS
  • Mariupol airport hit, out of HIMARS range so probably Vilkha M strike
  • Russians hitting Zaporizhzhia with S-300s moved from Berdyansk district
  • More thermal drone footage being used by Ukrainians to target troops at night
  • FPV kamikaze drones hitting moving tanks, a change in tactics and capability


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Military Aid

  • Finland cannot afford to give Ukraine F-18 Hornets until F-35A replacements are operational
  • Denmark hopes to donate first of 100 Leopard 1A5 tanks to Ukraine in spring, in collaboration with Germany and Netherlands
  • Luxembourg donating 14 armoured ambulances
  • US offers Greece 300 M2A2 IFVs to replace equipment sent to Ukraine
  • Ukrainian soldiers training on US Bradley IFVs in Eastern Europe
  • Ukraine privately seeking US cluster bombs to counter Russian "human wave" tactics
  • Turkish DPICM cluster bombs called a "game changer", increasing Russian casualties exponentially


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Other News

  • Russia modernizing 800 T-62 tanks with thermal imaging over 3 years in Chita
  • Ukrainian official says Russia burning through decades of weapons, needs external help
  • Hospitals in Russian-occupied Luhansk turned into barracks, civilians lacking medicine
  • Spring thaw creating terrible trench conditions for Ukrainian soldiers


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Analysis on Bakhmut

Zelensky aide Podolyak explains Ukraine's reasons for defending Bakhmut: 1) Allows time to prepare forces for later counter-offensive 2) Wears down Russian forces, who are committing trained personnel, not just convicts 3) Russians losing 5-7 soldiers for each Ukrainian, a "massive slaughter" if NATO confirms Analyst Philips O'Brien argues this is a more strategic case than those calling to end the battle.

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Wrap up

Jonathan apologises for the rushed news update and promises to try and provide a front line update later if possible. He appreciates viewer support and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

I was able to understand and summarize all the key points in the transcript. The only slight confusion was whether the 535 Russian casualties in Bakhmut represented the total for the day or were part of the overall 1,090 figure. But the main takeaway about Bakhmut's significance was clear.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Read through the transcript and identify the main topics covered For each main topic, summarize the key points in a concise paragraph Use bullet points or numbered lists to break up longer summaries Bold key words or phrases for emphasis Include any quotes, sources, or credits mentioned Use British English spelling and grammar Re-read the transcript to ensure no important points were missed Review the summary for clarity and coherence

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos