Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Finland & NATO, Kofman on the war, & Farming Resilience
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Ukrainian army cannot afford to be profligate because what follows a series of successful offensives could prove similar to the attritional period from December to February."
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses Lord Richard Dannett's comments on Finland joining NATO. Dannett seems to underestimate Finland's military capabilities and contributions, suggesting they mainly provide "moral support". Many people, including military experts, are criticizing Dannett's take as uninformed and embarrassing. Finland actually has robust military capabilities that will significantly benefit NATO.
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Michael Kofman's Thoughts on the War
Michael Kofman shares his analysis of the current state of the war:
- The Russian offensive in Donbas has weakened, achieving little
- Ukraine is building out additional forces but their capability is uncertain
- Russia still has a long-term manpower problem and is trying to recruit more soldiers
- In Bakhmut, Wagner forces have advanced but the situation remains unstable
- Ukraine has a critical window of opportunity with their upcoming offensive, but sustaining momentum after will be challenging
Generational Divide in Ukraine
A video shows a confrontation between a young Ukrainian protester and an older Ukrainian Orthodox Church member who seems to support Russia. This highlights the generational and cultural divide in Ukraine, especially between those influenced by the Soviet era and younger Ukrainians. The divide is likely even more pronounced in eastern Ukraine.
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Farming Resilience in Kherson
A farmer in Kherson, Volodymyr Tanyik, lost $4-5 million in equipment and grain due to Russian shelling and occupation. Despite the challenges, he is rebuilding with the help of friends, government, and his own resilience. He has already started working on 1,200-1,500 of his 2,500 hectares of land. People like Volodymyr demonstrate the adaptability of Ukrainians in the face of adversity.
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Wrap up
Jonathan invites viewers to join his livestream chat with Anastasia from Kharkiv later in the evening. He appreciates everyone's support and encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video.
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