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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Sunday, 10th September 2023, 10:53
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"The fighting and our counteroffensive will continue."

Hello Team!

Jonathan mentions:

  • A gap between his first and second video today due to his son's rugby training and cake sale for his first rugby tour to Skegness
  • Proudly wearing his England rugby top after their win against Argentina and being a fan of George Ward's performance


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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Losses

According to the Ukrainian General Staff, Russian losses for the previous day (with caveats) include:

  • 490 personnel (down from 600 the day before)
  • 10 tanks (unsustainable loss rate)
  • 16 APVs
  • 22 artillery systems (massive number)
  • 3 MLRS (high number compared to average of 1.3 per day)
  • 1 anti-aircraft warfare system
  • 5 drones
  • 40 vehicles and fuel tanks (logistics being hammered)
  • 2 pieces of special equipment


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Oryx Equipment Losses

Visual confirmation of losses from Oryx (now winding down):

  • Russians: 8 losses including 5 Buk air defense systems (big loss)
  • Ukrainians: 6 losses of lower value equipment

Andrew Perpetua documenting more losses than Oryx now.

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Situation in Robotyne

  • Exceptionally heavy fighting ongoing in Robotyne area
  • Russians throwing everything at it, Ukrainians claim 1.5 sq km taken
  • Claims of Russian counterattack north of Vuhledar
  • Area critical for both Russian defense and Ukrainian counteroffensive
  • Much footage of tank battles emerging from the area


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Attrition of Russian Air Defenses

  • Attrition of Russian short-range air defense systems allowing Ukrainian drones to operate more effectively
  • Drones able to take out more Russian equipment as a result
  • United24 Army of Drones having an impact with 10,000 operators and many drones


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Morale Issues Among Russian Troops

  • Sky News reports a UK citizen found dead fighting for Ukraine with hands tied (war crime)
  • Videos emerging of Russian soldiers complaining about brutal/incompetent commanders
  • Soldiers denouncing criminal orders to execute comrades refusing to fight
  • Contrasts with lack of similar videos from Ukrainian side
  • Indicates serious morale issues for Russians compared to Ukrainians


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Crimea Attacks

Multiple attacks reported in Crimea:

  • Explosions heard in Old Crimea, Simferopol, Feodosia
  • Military hangar on fire in Simferopol
  • Russians claim they thwarted amphibious landing attempts and Crimean Bridge attack
  • Fire reported near railway in Kerch


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Kyiv Drone Attacks

  • Kyiv attacked by Russian drone wave overnight
  • 26 out of 33 drones shot down, 7 got through
  • 8 loud explosions heard
  • Debris causing damage even when shot down over city


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Budanov Interview

Head of Ukrainian Intelligence Budanov states:

  • Autumn weather won't significantly impact counteroffensive
  • Fighting will continue into winter despite challenges
  • War won't be long-term in his analysis, likely 6-7 months to a year more


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Forced Voting in Occupied Territories

  • Video of Russian soldiers banging on doors and using vehicle PA system to tell people to come out and vote
  • Intimidation tactics to force participation in sham referendums
  • Person inside refuses, telling them to "knock on your own head"


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Aerial Threat Countermeasures

Both sides taking measures against drone/aerial threats:

  • Russians using netting over parked aircraft
  • Ukrainians deploying decoy targets made of cardboard to attract Lancet drones


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Wrap up

Jonathan thanks viewers, requests likes/subscribes/shares. Apologizes for delay in posting second video later in the day.

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