Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Most of these guys are mobilized and convicts, right? So they're not, you know, they're not career army people. And they haven't really received that quality training either. So it's all a bit of a mess."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides his usual introduction and mentions this video will cover overnight news and other updates for January 24, 2023.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian figures for Russian losses
- 690 Russian personnel killed yesterday, slightly higher than recent daily average
- 2 tanks, 8 APCs, 2 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 2 aircraft, 4 helicopters lost
- 3 drones, 8 vehicles/fuel tanks, 1 special equipment lost
- Jonathan notes the 4 helicopters lost is significant. He had previously heard 2 Su-25 attack aircraft, 1 Ka-52 attack helicopter, 2 guided X-59 rockets and 1 UAV drone were downed.
Russian boat sunk near Kherson
Ukrainian forces hit and sank a Russian reconnaissance/sabotage boat on the Dnipro River near Potemkin Island yesterday. The island near Kherson is contested, with reports of both Russian and Ukrainian flags seen flying there recently.
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Estonia plans Gulf of Finland restrictions
- Estonia is considering a 24 nautical mile coastal zone in the Gulf of Finland to inspect passing ships
- Goal is to enforce sanctions compliance on Russia
- Not a full blockade yet, but would be a major hassle for Russian shipping from St. Petersburg
- Finland would also need a similar zone to fully block the gulf
Leopard 2 tank news
- Unconfirmed: Germany may require countries re-exporting Leopard 2s to Ukraine to buy new ones from Germany
- 12 countries have agreed to supply Ukraine with 100 Leopard 2s pending German approval
- This is a significant number of tanks that could support a Ukrainian counter-offensive
- Germany claimed no one had officially asked for export approval previously
Discipline issues in Russian forces
- New overall commander Gerasimov is shaking things up, demoting Surovikin
- Gerasimov banned mobile phones, required haircuts and shaving which is causing backlash
- Shaving can lead to infections in poor frontline conditions
- Dom Nichols argues good tactics/training should come before strict discipline, not the reverse
- Most Russian soldiers are mobilized or convicts, not well-trained career military
Russian command shuffle and issues
- VDV (airborne) commander Colonel Mikhail Teplinsky dismissed, possibly over disagreements on VDV usage
- UK intel says this shows continued divisions in Russian command as Gerasimov asserts authority
- Wagner group having issues with convict recruits - out of 50k recruited, only 10k still fighting
- High casualties, surrenders, desertions among Wagner convict soldiers
- Suggests Wagner lacks infrastructure to track losses
- In-fighting between Wagner and Russian MoD continues
Ukrainian corruption scandal
- Deputy Defense Minister Shapovalov resigned over inflated prices for military purchases
- He oversaw armed forces logistics
- Several other Ukrainian officials fired or resigned as government tries to root out corruption
- Not ideal timing in the middle of defensive war efforts
Wrap up
Jonathan notes that in just 30 minutes of combat overnight, Ukraine destroyed 3 more Russian Ka-52 attack helicopters, a huge loss. He concludes this portion of the update, with a frontline update video to follow shortly. He asks viewers to like, subscribe and share the video, and thanks them for their support.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
The transcript mentions "Rostigia estimate" which is unclear - this may be a misspelling or mistranscription.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Extract video title, date, and part from the YouTube title
Watch for key topics and summarize each one, keeping the order they appear in the video
Look for any quotes that stand out as particularly insightful or profound
Note anything that was unclear in the transcript to include at the end
Review summary to ensure all key topics were captured and British English spelling is used throughout
