Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"When you see these, not all the time, but at least in this occasion, and one would assume in other occasions, and this won't necessarily be about the river, I would have thought, is probably what goes for attacks elsewhere on the line. When you see, in this case, a Ukrainian attack, a soft raid, it is really a raid across."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:30⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to the daily frontline update, noting there haven't been many changes according to the maps by JR. He reminds viewers to refer to the map key if needed.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
General Frontline Overview
🎦 00:30-02:15⏩
Jonathan observes that the quiet frontline is positive news for Ukraine, but cautions that the Russians are still deploying large bombs and engaging in fighting. He mentions Andrew Perpetua's rant about the Russian use of 240mm self-propelled mortars against civilian areas and highlights the dynamic nature of the "grey zone" that isn't always reflected in the static frontline maps.
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Kharkiv Oblast
🎦 02:15-06:44⏩
Jonathan reports no changes in the northern Kharkiv area, but notes discrepancies between different mappers regarding Russian gains near Vovchansk. He highlights Andrew Perpetua's report of Russian gains and contrasts this with Surat Maps, which shows the Russians in full control of the area connecting to the Vovchansk aggregate plant. Deep State Maps, meanwhile, aligns more closely with Perpetua's assessment. Jonathan also addresses a discrepancy from the previous day's map, where a wrongly coloured pin was placed in the area. He then cites the Institute for the Study of War's report on Ukrainian forces retaking positions northeast of Vovchansk and advancing along Soborna Street. Further analysis of geolocation footage reveals Ukrainian forces being attacked by Chechen Akhmat special forces, suggesting the Ukrainians might have taken control of that area, aligning with previous observations. Jonathan also cites a Russian milblogger's claim of strikes against Ukrainian positions in central Vovchansk and the seizure of two buildings at the Vovchansk aggregate plant. However, ISW has not found visual evidence to corroborate these claims, indicating potential misinformation.
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Donbas Frontline
🎦 06:44-07:12⏩
Jonathan reports no changes along the northeastern frontline from Kupyansk to Kremina, Siversk, or Bakhmut. He revisits the concept of the shifting "grey zone", citing Kalinivka as an example where the line constantly moves. He speculates that Surat Maps likely focuses more on these grey zone fluctuations than other mappers.
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Avdiivka and Karlivka
🎦 07:12-08:10⏩
Around Avdiivka, Jonathan notes a small change with a slight Russian gain north of the Karlivka reservoir. This is considered good news, given the recent Russian activity in the area. Suriat Map reports that Russian forces managed to enter the first building in the northern part of Karlivka, which is split by the reservoir. Overall, there are no other significant changes to the frontline according to the mappers.
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Ukrainian Tactics on the Dnipro River
🎦 08:10-13:20⏩
Jonathan shares a video sent by Snitzel Von Krum on Twitter featuring an Australian military man who had been stationed on the Dnipro River with Ukrainian units. The soldier recounts his experience observing the 80th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade, an Arctic unit now struggling in the southern Ukrainian heat. Jonathan focuses on the soldier's description of a Ukrainian soft raid near Kazachi Laheri, which aimed to establish a sensor system and antenna for controlling UAVs beyond the river. This tactic aligns with previous observations of Ukrainian activity in the area that initially seemed unclear. The soldier emphasizes the Ukrainians' strategy of maneuvering for advantage and prioritizing information warfare in an electronically-charged environment. He also highlights the capture of a Russian battalion commander who provided valuable intelligence, suggesting weaknesses in the Russian chain of command and highlighting the Ukrainians' resourcefulness.
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Personal Update and Thanks
🎦 13:20-14:36⏩
Jonathan contemplates enjoying the summer solstice evening in his new paddling pool, expressing gratitude to Benny Pye for suggesting the idea and for setting up AI transcription for his videos. He digresses into a humorous anecdote about his exercise routine using a tether, which is particularly beneficial for managing his multiple sclerosis. He concludes by mentioning Ukraine's 2-1 victory against Slovakia in the European Championship.
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Wrap up
🎦 14:36-14:36⏩
Jonathan signs off, wishing his viewers well and promising to speak soon.
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