Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"Objective data based on about the past 24 hours of NASA FIRMS data...shows more fires in a Russian-held territory than in Ukrainian-held territory...the Ukrainians are obviously hammering Russian ammunition depots."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war frontline for May 8th, 2023. Before going to the frontline, he reviews the ISW report which focuses on the power struggle between Wagner group financier Prigozhin and Chechen leader Kadyrov compelling the Russian military command to resume artillery ammunition distribution to Wagner forces in Bakhmut. This infighting raises questions about Russia's ability to coordinate a coherent defensive campaign.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector (Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- Some territory exchanged in Vilshana area, with Ukrainian gains into the gray zone but not affecting Russian territory
- Spirne has seen Russian assault attempts for 3 consecutive days, each time forced to retreat with losses of vehicles and damage to a T90 tank
Bakhmut
- Geolocated footage shows Wagner forces made some advances west in Bakhmut and near Saka Ivansety
- Fighting continues along the front, with Russians pressuring pretty much everywhere
- Small Russian gains in the north according to some pro-Russian sources
- Ukrainians still hold positions east of the T0504 highway
- Wagner artillery has increased rate of fire after receiving ammunition from Russian MoD
- Phosphorus/incendiary munitions being heavily used by Russians in last 2 days
- Ukrainians blew up a housing block to slow Wagner advance
- 54th mechanized brigade likely withdrew from their base south of city
Avdiivka
- Russians repelled in attacks on Avdiivka and Pervomaiske
- Unverified report that Russians lost 400 men in a failed attack on Avdiivka
Marinka
Russian mil-blogger claimed Russian forces failed to advance in southern approaches to Avdiivka and in Marinka.
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Vuhledar
Situation reported as stable with improved Ukrainian drone surveillance of Russian activities. Russian artillery did manage to hit a Ukrainian artillery piece.
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Zaporizhzhia & Kherson Oblasts
- Russians claimed to repel a Ukrainian reconnaissance operation near Velyka Novosilka (Donetsk) and a sabotage reconnaissance group near Levadne (Zaporizhzhia)
- Russian MoD acknowledged Ukrainian forces maintain a presence on islands in the Dnipro River delta
- Lots of drone activity reported, with Russians claiming to shoot down up to 23 Ukrainian drones
Wrap Up
In summary, the day was relatively quiet except for Bakhmut, as the Russians push to make gains with one day left before Victory Day. The open question is whether Ukraine will launch any surprises to disrupt Russian efforts and bleed them further before a larger upcoming Ukrainian counteroffensive. As always, thanks for watching - please like, subscribe and share!
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