Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Grisewlda, RU Death Stats, & Ru Tank Training Facilities
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"It's really important that there's that continued unified response to this war."
Hello Team!
Jonathan is away today so this is a pre-recorded Ukraine War Update Extra video to provide some additional nuggets and tidbits of information about the war in Ukraine.
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Griselda Intelligence Unit
- Griselda is a Ukrainian intelligence unit that helps target Russian forces, named after the rap group they were listening to when the project started
- It integrates data from various sources (imagery, signals, human, open source, cyber intelligence) to provide an accurate picture of enemy locations
- An example is given of how a grandmother's report of a Russian rocket launcher in her village could be verified and result in the launcher being destroyed by a suicide drone in under 30 seconds
- Jonathan believes these kind of systems give Ukraine a competitive advantage by optimising the use of intelligence
Russian Death Statistics
- The Russian government budget indicates they are forecasting over 100,000 soldiers will have died by the end of 2024
- Funding for compensation payments to families of the dead and wounded has increased significantly
- Independent Russian media calculated 47,000 confirmed deaths by May 2023 and project 100,000 deaths by mid-2024
- The true figure is likely much higher as Russia tends to list soldiers as missing rather than dead to avoid paying compensation
Russian Glide Bombs
- Russian aircraft are dropping unguided bombs and glide bombs on Ukrainian positions
- Glide bombs are very difficult for Ukrainian air defences to intercept as they are only in the air for 70 seconds or less
- Russians are deploying them from 50-70km behind the front lines using their top warplanes like the Su-34 and Su-35
- Ukraine is using the threat of these bombs to press their case for F-16 fighter jets that could chase away the Russian planes
- Glide bombs are much cheaper than cruise missiles but carry a similar explosive payload so Russia gets more "bang for their buck"
Mark Hertling's Initial War Assessment
- In February 2022, retired US general Mark Hertling outlined what he believed were Putin and Zelensky's initial strategic objectives
- For Putin: Regime change in Kyiv, destroy Ukraine's army, control ports, establish land bridge to Crimea, weaken the West, divide NATO
- For Zelensky: Maintain Ukraine's sovereignty and government, defend key points, protect population, reinforce alliance support
- Hertling felt Putin's objectives were too ambitious for his forces while Zelensky had a competent force that would need a lot of help
- The war seems to have played out along these lines with both sides adapting their approaches
Expansion of Russian Training Facilities
- Russia is actively expanding training facilities in occupied Luhansk/Donetsk and within Russia to improve infrastructure and training capacity
- New training lanes for infantry and armoured vehicles have been built along with accommodation
- This has been ongoing since late 2022, aligning training with recent combat experiences
- It underscores Russia's commitment to a sustained war effort and continuous mobilisation of troops, even if the quality of training is questionable
Wrap up
Jonathan apologises for the random assortment of topics in this update. His regular news update will be on Sunday evening. Take care!
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