Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid & Geopolitical News
Table of Contents 📖
"What has the world come to? What has the US come to in particular when people like him get to say stuff like this?"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:18⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics video, the second part of the Ukraine War news update for February 19th, 2024. He's ready to dive into the latest on equipment, military aid, and geopolitical news.
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Munich Security Conference: Ammunition Concerns and Bilateral Meetings
🎦 00:18-01:46⏩
Jonathan discusses Shashank Joshi's observations from the Munich Security Conference. Joshi points out concerns over Europe's ability to bridge the ammunition gap if the US reduces its support, emphasizing the urgency of getting ammunition to Ukraine as quickly as possible. He then highlights Ukrainian Minister of Strategic Industries, Oleksandr Kamyshin's meetings with 17 German defence companies during the conference, suggesting Germany's significant role in bolstering Ukraine's defence.
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Germany: Calls for Taurus Missiles and US Aid Controversy
🎦 01:46-04:44⏩
- Jonathan discusses calls for Germany to supply Ukraine with Taurus cruise missiles, particularly in light of Alexei Navalny's death. He challenges Olaf Scholz's apparent hesitation, arguing that since the UK (Storm Shadows) and France (SCALP) are already providing similar weaponry, the range difference of the Taurus is a weak justification. He speculates that Scholz might be using this as a shield until the US provides comparable arms.
- He then shifts focus to US aid to Ukraine, citing German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius urging US legislators to approve a $60 billion aid package. Pistorius emphasizes the potential negative impact on the US economy if the aid is withheld.
- Jonathan then critiques Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's stance on providing aid to Ukraine in the form of loans rather than grants, calling Graham a "flip-flopper" and drawing connections to potential influence from Donald Trump's return to the political scene. He expresses concern about the implications of Graham's shift in stance, suggesting ulterior motives.
US Soldier's Plea: A Letter from the Front Lines
🎦 07:12-10:25⏩
Jonathan highlights an open letter from John "Jackie" Roberts, an American soldier embedded with an elite Ukrainian brigade.
- Roberts criticizes the decision by some in US Congress to block Ukrainian aid, emphasizing its direct impact on the battlefield.
- He argues that their justifications about border security or healthcare are irrelevant, as these problems have existed for decades and have nothing to do with supporting Ukraine.
- Roberts stresses that blocking aid is purely a political manoeuvre, using Ukraine as a partisan issue, a stance that is costing lives on the ground.
- Jonathan expresses agreement with Roberts' assessment of the situation.
Military Aid Updates: ATACMS, Drones, and International Support
🎦 10:25-15:16⏩
Jonathan provides updates on the latest military aid news:
- The Biden administration is considering sending long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine, pending Congressional approval of a new funding package.
- France is set to deliver a new generation of kamikaze drones currently in testing, giving Ukraine early access to this technology.
- Ukraine is developing its own kamikaze drones based on captured Russian Lancet models, with two of the four variants successfully tested.
- The UK, in collaboration with allies including the US, will provide Ukraine with thousands of AI-powered drones capable of simultaneous attacks on Russian targets.
- Jonathan also notes Denmark, the Netherlands, and the Czech Republic have all pledged additional aid to Ukraine.
US Public Opinion and the Rise of Pro-Russian Sentiment
🎦 15:16-17:55⏩
- Jonathan discusses a Pew Research Center poll showing 74% of Americans consider the war in Ukraine important to US national interest. While a majority in both parties support this view, he highlights the outsized influence of the MAGA Republican wing, which doesn't represent the broader Republican perspective.
- He notes conversations with Republican viewers who are unhappy with their party's stance on Ukraine.
- Jonathan criticizes Senator J.D. Vance, a veteran, for declining to meet with Zelensky and dismissing the opportunity to learn more. He labels Vance a "grade A wingnut" and expresses disappointment over Vance's pro-Russian stance.
Liz Cheney and the "Putin Wing" of the Republican Party
🎦 17:55-20:33⏩
- Jonathan shifts to Liz Cheney's comments about a "pro-Putin wing" within the Republican Party. He acknowledges some viewers might find his focus on Republican infighting tiresome, but argues it's important to address given the comments of figures like J.D. Vance, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. He contends these individuals are echoing Kremlin propaganda, making Cheney's label accurate.
- He expresses serious concerns about the influence of the "Putin information machine" spreading into the US and other countries' political systems, considering it a major challenge moving forward.
NATO Spending, Hungary's Snub, and a Potential EU Alternative
🎦 20:33-25:15⏩
- Jonathan discusses NATO defence spending. He highlights that with Sweden's likely accession, 20 NATO members will be meeting the 2% of GDP defence spending target, a significant increase from only three members in 2014. He emphasizes the importance of nuance in these discussions, avoiding generalizations about "Europe" and acknowledging that spending varies significantly across member states.
- He critiques the simplistic pro-Trump narrative that the spending increase is solely due to Trump's criticism, pointing to Russia's invasion of Ukraine as the catalyst for change.
- Jonathan then criticises the Hungarian government's refusal to meet with US senators to discuss Sweden's NATO membership, seeing it as indicative of Viktor Orban and the Fidesz party's pro-Russian stance.
- He expresses concerns about a Washington Post report suggesting the EU is considering a NATO alternative should Trump win the next US election. This stems from Trump's past statements about potential US withdrawal from the alliance if financial obligations aren't met. He sees this as evidence of global anxieties surrounding a potential Trump presidency and its impact on international security.
Russian Disinformation Campaigns and Potential NATO Leadership
🎦 25:15-26:50⏩
- Jonathan emphasizes the seriousness of the information war being waged by Russia. He points to the Washington Post's report revealing a Russian disinformation campaign targeting Ukraine, Europe, and the rest of the world, seeking to discredit Ukraine's leadership and demoralize its citizens.
- He expresses frustration with the lack of effective countermeasures from the West, seeing it as a significant ongoing threat.
- Jonathan returns to the topic of potential NATO Secretary General replacements for Jens Stoltenberg. He reiterates reports that Biden suggested Ursula von der Leyen, but that Olaf Scholz blocked the nomination due to her critical stance towards Moscow.
Ukraine's Security Agreements and Belarus' Child-Free Crackdown
🎦 26:50-29:34⏩
- Jonathan reports Ukraine is in talks with Japan, Canada, the US, and Poland to establish security agreements. He sees these agreements as crucial for deterring future Russian aggression and securing a lasting peace.
- He then pivots to news from Belarus, where the government is pushing to criminalize being "child-free."
- Jonathan expresses astonishment and disgust over Belarus's attempt to equate being child-free with pedophilia, arguing that this highlights a disturbing trend towards authoritarianism and highlights the lengths Belarus and potentially Russia might go to address their demographic challenges.
- He finds this development both absurd and concerning, comparing it to dystopian fiction like The Handmaid's Tale. He expresses worry about the trajectory of countries like Belarus, Russia, and even the US in their increasing embrace of extreme policies.
Wrap up
🎦 29:34-29:39⏩
Jonathan thanks his viewers for their continued support, reminding them to like, subscribe, and share the video.
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