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Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline & Marinka Update

Front Line Saturday, 2nd December 2023, 18:50
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"Marinka won't have fallen yet...it seems incredibly unlikely that suddenly one day take like eight blocks worth or whatever however they are advancing through then the reality is there's not really anything left of Marinka and so defending it is very difficult"

Hello Team!

  • Jonathan presents the frontline update for December 2nd, 2023
  • Warns that Syriac Maps tends to exaggerate Russian advances


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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Northeast Sector

  • Russians appear to be finishing offensives started before the Ukrainian counteroffensive
  • Geolocated footage shows Russian forces advancing southeast of Vilshana near Kupyansk
  • Russians made tactical advances west and south of Kreminna according to a Ukrainian military observer
  • Syriac Maps shows Russian gains near Yahidne and Ivanivka and north by the Oskil River, though the river's west bank cliffs give Ukrainians a height advantage


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Bakhmut Area

  • Russians made further gains around Bohdanivka according to Syriac Maps and Deep State Maps
  • ISW reports geolocated footage and Russian claims of advances near Bohdanivka, Klishchiivka, Kurdiumivka, Andriivka and along highways
  • Ukrainian sources acknowledge successful Russian attacks in the area


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Avdiivka Front

  • Ukraine Battle Maps shows recent Russian advances:
    • Took the dacha area east of Avdiivka
    • Advanced north of Vodiane
    • Made minor gains around Krasnohorivka
  • Russians gained about 4.1 sq km of the 85 sq km Avdiivka pocket in the past week
  • Geolocated footage shows Russians shelling Ukrainian positions in Tonenkya west of Avdiivka
  • Russian control of this area would threaten the main Ukrainian supply route


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Marinka

  • Syriac Maps claimed Russia captured all of Marinka, but other Russian sources say this is premature and they control 74-95%
  • Geolocated footage shows a Russian flag on a destroyed building, but likely just a temporary advance during a blizzard
  • Jonathan believes Marinka's days are numbered but it wasn't fully taken yesterday
  • Marinka itself has little intrinsic value but losing it exposes Krasnohorivka and Kurakhove which Russians want to take


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Southern Front

  • One Russian source claimed Ukrainian forces attempted to transfer personnel to Kherson via boat but were prevented by Russian strikes
  • Russian bloggers claim Ukrainians are trying to advance in forests south of Krinky while others say airstrikes forced them to retreat to the north
  • Ukrainians appear to dominate the skies around Krinky with drones and rapid counter-battery fire
  • Deputy commander Major General Vladimir Zavadsky was killed, possibly by partisans, at a command post 22km from the frontline


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Wrap Up

  • Jonathan believes things are looking challenging for Ukraine as they need more mobilized forces to make meaningful gains
  • Ukraine is struggling to hold back Russians in many areas while still trying offensives in Krinky and Robotyne
  • Thanks viewers for watching and engaging with his content


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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

I wasn't clear on the location of Novomayachka where the Russian command post was attacked. Some of the Ukrainian place names were difficult to catch so I may have misspelled a few.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Identify the main topics covered in the video in the order they appear For each topic: Summarize the key points in a concise way Include any relevant quotes, opinions or insights from Jonathan Use bullet points to structure the summary Bold any key terms or place names Extract the video title, date and part from the YouTube title Select the most profound or poignant quote from the video Review the summary to ensure all key topics are covered and the British English is used throughout

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos