Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"And raise a glass to those fighting on the front line. On both sides, in kind of memory of how difficult it is...there are humans dying up and down this front line on both sides. And it's just a terrible human tragedy."
Hello Team!
Jonathan wishes everyone a Merry Christmas and hopes things are comfortable for the troops fighting on the front lines for a couple of days. He shares a map from War Mapper showing how much territory the Russians have lost since their peak control.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Troop Losses and Overnight Developments
- The Ukrainian military reports 480 Russian troops killed, 1 tank, 8 APCs, 4 artillery systems, 4 MLRS, 8 drones and 5 vehicles/fuel tanks destroyed in the past day. Jonathan notes this is a mediocre day for Russian losses.
- A massive fire occurred at the Russian Institute of Light Alloys in the Moscow area.
- An alleged drone strike hit an oil depot in Russian-occupied Crimea.
- The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed two more big hits in Zaporizhzhia region, wounding over 70 Russian troops.
Russian Drones and Draftee Deaths
- Russia has bought 1,700 Shahed-136 drones from Iran, with about 540 delivered so far. This leaves about 1,200 yet to be used, implying many more drone attacks to come. However, Ukraine has had greater success recently in shooting these drones down.
- At least 492 Russian draftees have died at training centers in Russia before reaching the front, reflecting the poor conditions and health of those being mobilized.
Northern Ukraine and Possible Russian Offensives
The Institute for the Study of War discusses the possibility of Russia conducting a "most dangerous course of action" by attacking from Belarus in northern Ukraine. This could be:
- An attempt to fix Ukrainian troops in defensive positions
- A deception to strike elsewhere like the Kharkiv region
- Genuine preparations for an offensive
Russian forces conducted reconnaissance missions in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts near the border. A Russian sabotage/recon group was destroyed by Ukrainian forces in Vysokhe.
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Svatove-Kreminna Line
- Fighting continues around Dvorichne and Tavolzhanka northeast of Kupyansk. Russians claim Ukrainians shelled border areas in Belgorod and that fighting has turned positional.
- There are unconfirmed claims Ukrainians liberated Kuzmivka and entered Pidkuichansk south of Svatove. Heavy fighting reported but control of towns is unclear. A grey zone may exist in this area.
- Near Kreminna, the situation is tense. Ukrainians repelled attacks on Bilohorivka. Russians may have evacuated civilians from occupied Pryvillya, possibly in preparation for Ukrainian attacks.
Bakhmut Area
- Intense fighting continues in and around Bakhmut. Ukrainians reportedly pushed Wagner forces back to the eastern industrial zone.
- The situation is unclear around Opytne and south of the city near Klishchiivka. Russians claim advances west of Kurdyumivka but this is unconfirmed.
- Klishchiivka is seen as a key area to watch as Russians try to advance towards Ivanivske and partly encircle Bakhmut from the south.
Southern Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Fronts
- The ISW had little to report about Avdiivka, Krasnohorivka and Marinka, possibly indicating a pre-Christmas slowdown in fighting.
- Russian naval infantry elements were documented operating in western Donetsk before being repelled by Ukraine west of Neskuchne.
- In Zaporizhzhia, the important Russian logistics hub of Tokmak northeast of Melitopol is reportedly surrounded by new Russian trench lines in expectation of Ukrainian attacks.
Wrap Up
Jonathan notes the fighting seems to have gotten quieter in the last couple days. He wishes everyone a Merry Christmas, raises a glass to those fighting on both sides, and acknowledges the human tragedy of the war. He appreciates everyone following his updates and being on this journey with him.
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