Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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"When you get pro-Russian voices and appeasers in government... if you are pro-Russia, you need to deal with this kind of genocidal incitement from the Russian state television, sanctioned, therefore, by the Russian state."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides his daily update on the Russia-Ukraine war for 29 March 2023.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian losses
- Ukrainian figures show lower Russian losses compared to previous days, suggesting a quieter period on the frontlines
- 7 tanks, 6 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 aircraft, 4 drones, 5 vehicles lost
- A Ukrainian aviation squadron commander was killed in combat
- A Russian Su-24 was shot down near Bakhmut
Drone activity
- Remains of a Ukrainian drone found near Moscow, raising concerns for Russians
- A drone attacked a gas pumping station in Belgorod, Russia, damaging an empty gas tank and pipeline
Explosions in Melitopol
- Series of explosions reported in Russian-occupied Melitopol
- Targets included the airfield, rail facilities, and power infrastructure
- Melitopol is a key transport hub; if Ukraine breaks through it could threaten Russia's land bridge to Crimea
- Heavy Russian military traffic seen leaving the area, causing roads to turn to mud
Frontline update
- Ukrainian General Staff reports repelling 57 Russian assaults in the past day, a relatively low number
- Suggests Russians may be losing offensive momentum
- Shelling continues in Kharkiv region towns and villages
Russian claims of Ukrainian plans
- Russian Telegram channel claims Ukraine is preparing to cross the Dnipro River
- Speculation on where Ukrainian counteroffensives may occur, such as Melitopol, Mariupol, Starobilsk or Bakhmut
Incitement to genocide on Russian state TV
- Russian propagandist Sergey Mardan referred to Ukrainians as "undead" and "animals" with "no human form", saying Ukraine should be "erased from the map"
- Jonathan strongly condemns this as fascist rhetoric and incitement to genocide, comparing it to Nazi Germany and Rwanda
- Calls on Russian apologists to confront this hateful propaganda or be complicit in potential genocide
Ammunition and equipment supplies
- Slovakia plans to increase production of 155mm shells from 30,000 to 150,000 per year
- France doubling supply of shells to Ukraine to 2,000 per month; Ukraine uses 3-5,000 per day while Russia uses 15-20,000
- British Challenger 2 tanks delivered with armoured recovery vehicles; more engineering vehicles may follow
- Switzerland may sell 96 Leopard 2A4 tanks to Germany to backfill tanks sent to Ukraine
- Canada providing Ukraine a further $2.4B loan via the IMF
Geopolitics
- IOC President says Russian and Belarusian athletes can compete at Olympics, likely under neutral flag
- In AP interview, Zelenskyy warns if Bakhmut falls, Putin will use it to gain international support and force Ukraine into unacceptable compromises
- Zelenskyy invites China's Xi Jinping to Ukraine for talks, but has had no contact in over a year
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support and mentions his brain is a bit frazzled today. He will provide a frontline update later.
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