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Full Frontline Update, Russian Counter-Counters?

Front Line Tuesday, 18th July 2023, 13:05
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"It appears that the Ukrainians and Western allies weren't assuming that the mined areas would be as problematic as they have been and so densely mined as they are and that and together with Russian aviation from K-52 attack helicopters and artillery has provided a really difficult defensive line to overcome."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war frontlines for July 18, 2023. He notes it has been a challenging 24 hours for Ukraine, with Russian counter-attacks along the southern frontline and offensives in the Luhansk and Kharkiv areas, as well as pressure in Bakhmut.

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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Kupyansk-Svatove Line

  • Russia has deployed additional reserves to mount an offensive in the Kupyansk-Svatove area, with a powerful Russian group concentrated there. The ISW reports marginal tactical gains by Russia in this direction.
  • Ukrainian Commander Syrsky stated that achieving quick results is now "practically impossible" due to densely mined territories and numerous Russian strongholds. This implies the Ukrainians were expecting faster progress initially.
  • Kenneth Gregg, a Finnish fighter in Ukraine, argues there is no reason for catastrophic thinking and that Ukraine is deploying Home Guard troops to meet the threat, preserving counter-offensive forces.


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Bakhmut Area

  • Russian forces continued ground attacks around Bakhmut but did not make any confirmed gains according to the ISW.
  • A Wagner commander claimed Ukrainian forces captured a stronghold north of Klishchivka and control areas north of Bakhmut near Zalizhnyansky.
  • Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian forces reaching the outskirts of Staromilske before being pushed back by Russian elastic defence manoeuvres.
  • Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister states they are continuing offensive operations north and south of Bakhmut and have likely made limited gains.


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Southern Frontline

  • There are conflicting reports about the situation in Staromilske. Some Russian sources claim they have regained control after Ukrainian advances, while others suggest heavy fighting is ongoing with Ukraine in the centre of the village.
  • Russians appear to have made gains near Priyutne according to multiple sources.
  • Andrew Perpetua expresses confusion about the situation around Robotyne due to conflicting open source information.
  • Ukraine has reportedly expanded its offensive east of Kamianske, establishing a foothold across the Dnipro River.


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Wrap up

In the Kherson region near the Antonivsky Bridge, there is little new information. Some footage suggests Ukrainians are trying to advance eastwards, possibly to consolidate control before pushing south. Explosions were reported in Russian-occupied Crimea, with helicopters heard beforehand. Storm Shadow and HIMARS strikes were active in Melitopol, Tokmak and other areas. Jonathan concludes by asking viewers for their thoughts on the Russian counter-offensive moves along the frontline.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

No parts of the transcript were unclear to me.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Identify the main topics covered in the video based on the transcript (e.g. Russian counter-attacks, updates on different frontline areas, etc.) For each main topic: Summarize the key points made, including any claims, analysis or opinions from Jonathan Note the sources of information where provided Highlight any areas of uncertainty or conflicting information Capture any overall themes or takeaways Select a key quote that captures the essence of the video Proofread and check spelling, grammar and formatting adheres to EN-GB style

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos