Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"Bakhmut - for both forces, it's a huge PR issue. If Russia don't take it, it shows how impotent their army is, even with Wagner. But the Ukrainians likewise can't let it go because that will be a huge PR loss for them as well."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides the latest Ukrainian figures for Russian losses, with the caveat that these numbers should be viewed with some skepticism. The figures show 420 troops lost, which is a downtick from the previous week, along with losses of tanks, APCs, artillery and cruise missiles.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Saturation Missile Attack
British intelligence reports that the recent waves of Russian strikes have used air and maritime launched cruise missiles as well as Iranian drones, likely launched from Russia's Krasnodar region rather than Crimea. This change may be due to concerns about Crimea's vulnerability. Most of the cruise missiles were launched over the Caspian Sea for safety reasons. Ukraine's air defenses performed well, shooting down a high percentage of the incoming projectiles.
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Potential Greek S-300 Delivery
Greece has indicated it is willing to deliver its S-300 air defense systems to Ukraine if the US provides Patriot systems to replace them. This would be an upgrade for Greece and allow them to provide their older Soviet-era equipment to aid Ukraine.
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Russian Artillery Ammunition Stocks
A packing sheet for a Russian 152mm artillery round manufactured in 2022 was found in Kherson. Interestingly, the round was made for Azerbaijan according to a contract from 2021. This raises questions about the current state of Russia's domestic artillery ammunition stocks if they are using such recently produced rounds from a foreign contract.
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Svatove-Kreminna Frontline
There have not been significant changes on this front line. The Russians appear to be conducting spoiling counter-attacks to prevent Ukrainian advances. Fighting continues in many of the same areas as before like Novoselivske and Kuzmivka. Footage from Novoselivske shows the town has been almost completely destroyed. Russian defensive lines are being constructed but the UK MOD assesses these traditional trench lines will be vulnerable to precision strikes.
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Bakhmut Area
Heavy fighting continues in the Bakhmut area, with the Wagner Group and regular Russian troops involved. The Russians claim to have cleared Yakovlivka, which if true would open the way to assault Soledar from a new direction. Control of Yakovlivka is seen as important for threatening Soledar and Bakhmut from the north. In Soledar itself, the situation remains dynamic and fluid. In Bakhmut, the exact extent of Russian control in the eastern outskirts is unclear, with the frontline shifting frequently. Both sides see holding Bakhmut as critical for PR and morale reasons. South of Bakhmut around Ozaryanivka, geolocated footage shows the Russians have taken over some Ukrainian trench lines west of the settlement. There are conflicting claims about Ukraine's use of HIMARS around Bakhmut - Jonathan is skeptical this would be an appropriate or effective use of these weapons.
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Donetsk Front
From Avdiivka to Vuhledar, fighting continues along the front lines with attacks and counterattacks by both sides. The Russians seem focused on taking Marinka and are pushing towards that objective. The Ukrainians look to be making some small gains in the far south of this region.
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Southern Fronts
The Zaporizhzhia and Kherson fronts remain largely static with artillery duels but no major changes in territory. The Russians are strengthening their defensive lines east of the Dnipro River and accumulating military equipment in Crimea, indicating their long-term intentions to hold this area.
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Wrap Up
In summary, the major focus remains on the battle for Bakhmut, with everywhere else seeing little change besides positional fighting. Please like, subscribe and share the channel to support my ongoing coverage of this war. Consider checking out my extra analysis videos as well. Thank you sincerely to all my channel members - your support is hugely appreciated!
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