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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Thursday, 6th April 2023, 11:30
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"Putin doesn't use the internet and doesn't have a mobile phone because he's scared it's controlled by the CIA. He has no way of being able to verify or disconfirm any information he has given. Therefore, he is a victim to the people around him who are giving him that information."

Hello Team!

Jonathan reviews the latest reported losses from the Ukrainian General Staff. 390 liquidated Russian personnel is one of the lowest figures seen for some time, indicating the Russian offensive has culminated. However, 7 artillery systems were taken out, suggesting the Ukrainians are shaping the battlefield for a counter-offensive by targeting equipment that causes them the most issues.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Troop Losses

The BBC and Medusa have compiled data on Russian troop losses by scouring the internet for evidence of funerals and death announcements. They focused on the 331st Parachute Regiment, one of the units that has suffered heavy casualties. The regiment originally deployed with 1,000-1,200 soldiers but may now only number 300-400 at the front after taking losses and receiving poorly trained replacements.

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Strikes on Melitopol

There is growing chatter that strikes on Melitopol indicate the Ukrainians are preparing for a counter-offensive in the Zaporizhzhia region. Melitopol is a key logistics hub supplying Russian forces in Kherson and Crimea. The Ukrainians seem to be telegraphing their intentions, but this could be a feint like the Kharkiv counter-offensive.

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Odds and Ends

  • A projector was installed on the Belarus border broadcasting videos about the Russian invasion to counter Russian propaganda.
  • Warm weather in Bakhmut is melting snow, adding to the mud and potentially contributing to the lower Russian casualty figures.
  • Russia's defence ministry building in Moscow caught fire.


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Military and Other Aid

  • Ukraine has trained 40,000 "Storm Brigade" troops for a counter-offensive.
  • The US is sending experimental drones to Ukraine to combat Iranian and Chinese drones.
  • Poland is sending 24 M120 Rak self-propelled mortars to Ukraine.
  • The EU's plan to jointly purchase 1 million artillery shells for Ukraine is stalled due to disagreements over manufacturing contracts.
  • Croatia, Romania, and the Czech Republic have pledged millions in military aid to Ukraine.
  • NATO countries agreed to develop a long-term support program for Ukraine.


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Geopolitics

  • A former FSO officer claims Putin lives in a bunker due to assassination fears and is terrified of COVID. He doesn't use a mobile phone or the internet, so his knowledge is filtered through state TV and the secret services.
  • Russian propagandists are supporting Trump, calling him a "destroyer of America" who can trigger a civil war. They were disappointed he didn't go further on January 6th.
  • Latvia has reintroduced mandatory military service for men aged 18-27.
  • The US, UK, Albania, and Malta walked out of a UN Security Council meeting where Russia tried to justify deporting Ukrainian children.
  • Emmanuel Macron and Ursula von der Leyen are meeting with Xi Jinping to try and convince China to be less supportive of Russia.
  • Bulgaria has closed its ports to all Russian ships.


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Wrap up

Jonathan appreciates all the support and encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video. He will have more updates coming soon.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

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