Ukraine War Update NEWS: Breaking News - More on the Ivan Khurs
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"There is absolutely no way of being able to confirm the dating for that."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Russian naval reconnaissance ship, the Ivan Khurs, which was allegedly attacked by Ukrainian maritime drones.
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Conflicting claims about the attack
- The Russians initially claimed the ship was attacked by three drones, with footage showing one drone being destroyed
- The Ukrainians later released footage appearing to show the ship being hit near the stern
- Russian sources claim the ship has entered Sevastopol Bay with no signs of damage, but the authenticity of the videos is questioned
- Pro-Russian voices share footage of the ship entering port, but the date cannot be confirmed
Further claims about the extent of the damage
- Igor Girkin, a Russian source known for his honesty, claims the Ivan Khurs is being towed by another vessel, the Commander, which remains in the same location since the attack
- Some sources claim the ship was attacked by five drones instead of three, with two hitting the vessel, causing severe damage and putting it at risk of sinking
- Alleged casualties include one officer killed, five enlisted killed (two thrown overboard and four drowned in the engine room)
Analysis of potential damage
- The Ukrainian kamikaze drones are assessed to carry 400 pounds of explosives, similar to the amount used against the USS Cole
- The drone likely hit the stern above the tail shaft, potentially damaging the propeller and hull above and below the waterline
- The extent of damage depends on factors like crew competence, ship maintenance, and design
- A second video obtained by Ukrainska Pravda shows an alleged detonation on the Ivan Khurs from a distance
Debate over the ship's current status
- Questions are raised about the feasibility of the Ivan Khurs returning to port within 24 hours given the reported damage and towing speed
- Intel Schizo, a commentator, argues that the footage of the ship entering ports in Istanbul and Sevastopol is likely from 2020 or 2021
- Inconsistencies in Russian claims about the ship entering port with no damage on different days are highlighted
Wrap up
Jonathan emphasises that this is a developing situation with both sides fighting for control of the narrative. He believes the footage of the ship returning to port is unlikely to be recent. Confirmation bias will influence how people interpret the available information. Jonathan aims to assess all the data to get a coherent picture of what took place.
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