Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
"Our aviation has collapsed and Ukrainian drones control the skies."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:30⏩
- Jonathan welcomes viewers to a new video on Ukraine War News Update for the 28th of October 2024.
- He apologises for the later start time, explaining it's half term and he's prioritising family time.
🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukraine General Staff Data - High Russian Personnel Losses
🎦 00:30-03:46⏩
- Jonathan reviews the Ukrainian General Staff's figures for Russian losses from the previous day, noting high numbers in several categories.
- Personnel: 1,680 (third highest since the war began).
- Tanks: 7 (slightly below average, but still considered high given reduced numbers).
- Armoured Personnel Vehicles: 40 (very high).
- Artillery Systems: 51 (significant).
- Vehicles and Fuel Tanks: 100 (near-record).
- Special Equipment: 14 (high).
- Jonathan highlights data from "Dell's Stats" (linked in the description) showing a record seven-day rolling average for vehicle and fuel tank losses.
- He acknowledges Ukrainian losses as well, emphasizing the intensity of the fighting.
Russian Soldier Kills 10 Sleeping Comrades in Zaporizhzhia
🎦 03:46-05:05⏩
- A Russian soldier, Maxim Andreevich Fedorenko, shot 10 sleeping Russian servicemen in his unit near Novopokrovka (Zaporizhzhia region) and fled.
- Speculation about the soldier's motives: Ukrainian mobilised from occupied regions? Mental instability? Moral compass?
- Jonathan suggests this incident will negatively impact Russian morale and create weakness in the unit.
Multiple Russian Armoured Vehicle Losses Captured on Video
🎦 05:05-07:13⏩
- Several videos show significant Russian armoured vehicle losses:
- 12 destroyed in one engagement.
- 13 destroyed, along with 4 tanks and other equipment, in another.
- Point-blank destruction of a Russian APC by a Ukrainian T-64 tank (third such incident in a week) - Jonathan notes the possibility of either confusion in the fog of war or potentially suicidal Russian tactics.
French Caesar Howitzer Fires Record 150 Rounds in One Day
🎦 07:13-08:26⏩
- KNDS France reports a Caesar howitzer fired a record 150 rounds in a single day.
- Jonathan suggests this indicates improved Ukrainian ammunition supply and/or Russian shortages, contrasting it with earlier reports of howitzers having only 5 rounds per day.
- He questions how widespread this situation is (anecdote or broader trend?).
Footage of Switchblade 600 Loitering Munition Destroying Russian Tor Air Defence System
🎦 08:26-11:27⏩
- Footage emerges of a Switchblade 600 loitering munition launch - potentially the first publicly available footage of this system in action.
- Jonathan recalls the initial hype surrounding Switchblades early in the war and the distinction between the anti-personnel Switchblade 300 and the anti-armour Switchblade 600.
- The footage shows a Switchblade 600 hitting a Russian Tor air defence system (damage is unclear, but significant enough to require repair).
- Jonathan discusses the potential mobility and versatility of Switchblade 600s compared to other drones.
Ukrainian FPV Drones Deployed as Flying Mines with Magnetic Triggers
🎦 11:27-13:15⏩
- Russians report Ukrainian FPV drones being used as flying mines along a highway.
- Drones are placed on the roadside and detonated by a magnetic contactless sensor when a vehicle passes.
- Jonathan highlights the evolving use of drones, adopting the functionality of traditional mines (pressure, magnetic, tripwire triggers) to target assets behind the front lines.
- Footage shows a Russian "Bukhanka" van destroyed by such a drone.
Ukrainians Capture Russian T-90S Main Battle Tank
🎦 13:15-14:53⏩
- Video shows Ukrainians capturing a fully operational Russian T-90S main battle tank (export version of Russia's most modern tank).
- Jonathan discusses the significance of captured tanks (double whammy effect) and mentions rumours of Russia pulling T-90Ss from India due to shortages.
Large Fire at Kolotsovsky Market in Voronezh, Russia
🎦 14:53-15:10⏩
- A large fire breaks out at the Kolotsovsky Market in Voronezh, Russia, covering 800 square metres.
- Possibly linked to attacks on distillery plants overnight.
Ukrainian Drone Attacks on Russian Distilleries in Voronezh Region
🎦 15:10-18:05⏩
- Overnight, Ukrainian drones strike two distilleries in Russia's Voronezh region: Novokopersk facility (previously hit) and Aninsky distillery.
- Ukrainian intelligence suggests Russia repurposes these facilities for rocket fuel production.
- Russia claims to have intercepted over 20 drones across multiple regions.
- Anton Gerashchenko notes distilleries produce not only alcohol but also fuel and explosives for the military, particularly the aerospace industry.
Railway Bridge Blown Up Near Berdyansk
🎦 18:05-19:53⏩
- Explosion reported in occupied Berdyansk, possibly targeting a railway bridge near the Vodokanal building.
- Jonathan advocates for focusing on bridge destruction as it's more disruptive and harder to repair than railway track damage.
Explosions Reported in Occupied Crimea, Particularly in Dzhankoi District
🎦 19:53-20:27⏩
- Around 30 explosions heard overnight in occupied Crimea, with approximately 20 in Dzhankoi district - a major logistical hub.
- Other explosions reported in Simferopol and Krasnohvardiiske.
- Jonathan notes a recent pattern of delayed reporting on strikes in Crimea.
Russian War Crimes and Civilian Executions in Solodke
🎦 20:27-21:28⏩
- Reports and footage emerge of Russian war crimes and civilian executions in Solodke.
- Ukrainian drone operators observed bodies in civilian clothing in areas not affected by active combat, suggesting killings after Russian occupation.
- Footage shows a civilian car being shot by Russian soldiers, potentially executing two women.
- The Ukrainian prosecutor's office is investigating.
- Jonathan condemns the systemic nature of Russian atrocities.
Ukraine Completes Fortifications in Zaporizhzhia Region, Aims to Create a "Fortress"
🎦 21:28-23:03⏩
- Ukraine is completing fortifications in the Zaporizhzhia region, with the second line 99.9% finished and the third line nearing completion.
- Zaporizhzhia's flat terrain makes fortification construction easier compared to other areas.
- Concerns raised about the lack of similar fortification efforts in the vulnerable Donetsk region, particularly near Vuhledar, where Ukrainian defence was strong but unsupported by rear defences.
North Korean Troops Arrive Near Russia-Ukraine Front Lines; South Korean Delegation to Brief NATO
🎦 23:03-26:25⏩
- North Korean troops are approaching the front lines, estimated at around 3,000 this month.
- Reports suggest they are young, inexperienced, and potentially malnourished, trained for mountainous terrain rather than Ukraine's plains.
- Jonathan expresses concern, reiterating that neither side has issues with North Korea sending troops, but the West's reaction is the main concern.
- He outlines the potential benefits for Kim Jong-un (reducing the population he needs to feed, gaining resources/influence) and Russia (gaining manpower).
- A South Korean delegation will brief NATO on the North Korean troop deployment.
- Seoul may send a monitoring team to Ukraine and potentially provide weapons.
- Jonathan sees a potential silver lining: Russia's actions might drive South Korea closer to NATO, inadvertently furthering NATO expansion.
Ex-North Korean Soldiers Seek Deployment in Ukraine to Demoralise North Korean Troops Fighting for Russia
🎦 26:25-27:14⏩
- A group of nearly 200 ex-North Korean soldiers has requested deployment in Ukraine to demoralise North Korean troops fighting alongside Russia.
- Jonathan finds this fascinating and believes Zelenskyy would likely welcome their assistance.
Challenging Situation on the Eastern Front Line; Russian Elites Acknowledge Struggles
🎦 27:14-28:35⏩
- Jonathan highlights the challenging situation on the eastern front line, particularly in Donetsk.
- He mentions an upcoming mapping update video.
- Retired General Ben Hodges points out that Russian elites acknowledge their struggles:
- Tomaschenko: "Even in a nightmare, we could not have predicted what the special military operation would lead to."
- Colonel General Baranet: "Belusov [new Russian Defence Minister] is talentless. Our aviation has collapsed and Ukrainian drones control the skies."
- Jonathan emphasizes the significance of the "aviation has collapsed" statement and the unsustainable nature of Russian aircraft and pilot losses.
Sewage Fountain Explosion in Moscow
🎦 28:35-29:17⏩
- A sewage fountain explodes in Moscow, creating a geyser of sewage as tall as a multi-storey building.
- Jonathan jokes about Russia being "in a spot of bother" and "in a spot of poo."
Wrap up
🎦 29:17-30:50⏩
- Jonathan urges viewers to support the ongoing ATP Geopolitics NAFO fundraising campaign, which is close to its target.
- He shows a video from the 12th National Guard Unit, the next recipient of the fundraising efforts.
- He thanks viewers for their support and mentions a potential update video later in the day.
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No queries. I was able to understand all aspects of the transcript and complete the tasks.
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Title, Date and Part
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