Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Title:Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update Topics:
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Russians are not going to want, obviously not going to want to let the Ukrainians get a serious bridgehead to allow them to start making these moves towards Crimea or in some kind of pincer movement with what's going on in Robotina."
Hello Team!
- Jonathan provides an update on the frontline situation in Ukraine as of 16th November 2023
- The key to the map is shown on screen. JR has updated the Brody-Afric fortification lines from pastel yellow to dark red.
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeastern Sector (Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- Minor Russian gains around northern Volodymyrivka and northern Brest, northwest of Svatova
- Russians made gains along a 4km wide part of the frontline, pushing inwards slightly
- ISW reports repelled attacks at many positions like Liman Peshi, Makivka, Sinkivka, Nadia, Serebiansky Forest, indicating an active frontline
Bakhmut Area
- Minor Russian gains north of Bakhmut in the Dubovo-Vasilyevka area according to Syriac maps
- Russian VDV elements attempting to regain lost positions and advance 500m south of Bakivka
- Russian bloggers claim advances in forest areas near Klishchivka and a foothold on the northern outskirts
- Both sides are fighting for control of key heights near Klishchivka
- Minor Ukrainian gains east of Andreevka according to Andrew Perpetua
Between Avdiivka and Bakhmut (Holivka)
- Ukrainians made gains at the northwest of Holivka, crossing the 2014 line
- Russians claim they repelled a breakthrough attempt at Holivka
- Geolocated video shows Ukrainian positions on the Russian defensive lines
- Andrew Perpetua notes Ukrainian gains, possibly pushing Russians back by around 1km
Avdiivka
- Significant Russian gains around the city, particularly to the north and east near Krasnohorivka
- Russians made gains southeast of Terokon waste heap and near Vesele towards Kamyanka
- ISW reports 60% of the industrial area south of Avdiivka seized by Russians
- Russian blogger claims no direct attacks on Avdiivka or coke plant yet
- Noah Report's map shows large gap in Russian defensive line compared to other maps
Southern Frontline (Velyka Novosilka)
- Relatively quiet over the past 6 weeks but some recent activity
- A Russian armoured column was reportedly destroyed by the 58th Motorized Brigade near Staromonivka
- No territorial changes in the area
Zaporizhzhia (Robotyne)
- ISW reports Ukrainian advances in western Zaporizhzhia but counter-attacks by Russians
- Russian sources claim repelled Ukrainian attacks near Robotyne, Kopani, Vobove and Novofedorivka
- Fighting west of Robotyne is largely direct infantry contact according to Russian blogger
- Bad weather impeding offensive operations
- Russian blogger claims 700m advance in a forest near Robotyne and on outskirts of Pyatiketki between Nov 13-15
- Ukrainians stepping up actions north of Novopropivka, minor improvements made, likely preparing new push
Kherson Region
- No map changes but ongoing conversations
- Ukrainian spokesperson claims they are pushing Russians 3-8km from Dnipro east bank, but this is not confirmed by open source evidence
- 8km would be a very significant gain, 3km is roughly the current frontline
- Russians tried and failed to dislodge Ukrainians from Krinky
- Ukrainians reportedly advanced slightly westward towards Kozachi Lahiri based on Russian reports
- Unconfirmed Ukrainian reports of trying to expand to Korsanka
- Geolocated footage shows Russian advances into Krinky
- Russian military observer outlines likely Russian plan to eliminate Ukrainian east bank positions with 3 tactical groups
- Russians employing heavy mines, infiltration tactics, snipers, heavy artillery, MLRS and airstrikes to defend against Ukrainian advances
Wrap up
Jonathan summarises:
- Mixed bag for both sides
- Russians still pressuring Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Kupyansk line
- Good to see Ukrainian success around Andrivka and Holivka
- All to play for on the Dnipro river, Russians appear to be stabilising the front somewhat