Ukraine War Update NEWS (20230911a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"We need to protect good accurate information in this world and this fight is just beginning"
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces the video, mentioning it is 9/11 and this is part 1 of 2 of the Ukraine War news update.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Russian losses for the previous day, according to Ukrainian General Staff: 580 personnel, 6 tanks, 12 APVs, 28 artillery systems, 3 anti-aircraft warfare systems, 35 drones, 32 vehicles/fuel tanks, 5 pieces of special equipment
- Jonathan discusses the significance of these losses, particularly the artillery pieces and electronic warfare systems
- Open source data from Oryx and Andrew Perpetua is analyzed to corroborate the Ukrainian figures
- The importance of engineering vehicles for recovering damaged tanks is highlighted, along with the vulnerability of these vehicles
Strikes and Shelling
- Russians used 12 Shahed drones and an unknown drone against Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Mykolaiv regions; all were reportedly shot down
- Tactical aviation was also used, firing anti-radar and guided missiles
- Explosions reported in Melitopol and Donetsk
- Two foreign aid workers (Canadian and Spanish) were killed, and two others (German and Swedish) injured in a Russian missile attack near Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast
Analysis and Opinions
- Jonathan discusses a viewer comment (from Greg Warren) about the long-term implications of Ukraine's strategy in wearing down Russia's best troops
- The head of Ukrainian intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov, states that Russian military power has degraded significantly and they are now relying on mobilized soldiers
- A Russian Colonel General claims the war against Ukraine is a stepping stone to waging war against other Eastern European countries
- Jonathan argues against pushing Ukraine into diplomacy with Russia, given Russia's stated intentions and actions
Disinformation and Epistemic Security
- A Turkish reporter expresses despair at the state of disinformation on Twitter/X and the difficulty in combating it
- Jonathan warns viewers to always check sources, think critically, and be aware of one's own biases
- He emphasizes the importance of "epistemic security" - the security of truth and knowledge - as one of the biggest threats in the "post-truth" age
- Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence; don't start with a conclusion and work backwards to find evidence to support it
Wrap up
Jonathan stresses the critical importance of protecting truth and accurate information, calling it the "most serious of battles for the world" as believing in inaccurate information leads to flawed policies and "it all goes wrong".
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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