Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"I don't know that you can put any more sanctions on Iran or whether any kind of posturing is going to help that. I don't know what you do to stop Iran doing that."
Hello Team!
Jonathan apologizes for the delay in posting this video. He had to re-record it after forgetting to press start the first time around, following a busy day speaking to 250 secondary school children about being an author and taking his kid ice skating.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian figures for Russian losses
- 660 liquidated Russian personnel, which Jonathan thinks is likely an overestimate but still indicative of ongoing fighting, especially around Bakhmut, Avdiivka and Marinka
- 8 tanks, 8 APCs, 12 artillery systems (a high number), 11 drones, 23 vehicles and fuel tanks destroyed
- Jonathan notes the high number of vehicles and fuel tanks destroyed, possibly related to heavy fighting reported around Avdiivka
Drone incidents
- A drone stuffed with 17kg of explosives fell near Moscow, possibly a UJ-22 drone
- Jonathan emphasizes the importance of Ukraine attacking targets near Moscow, St. Petersburg, Engels airbase, etc. to force Russia to fix valuable air defense systems in place rather than using them on the front lines
- Naval drone attacks reported on Sevastopol, with claims of Ukrainian drones entering the bay and causing an explosion, though damage to Russian ships is unknown
Overnight strikes
- Ukraine hit an oil depot in Rovenky, Luhansk with drones, about 100km from the front line
- Russia used Shahed-136 drones to strike an oil depot near Dnipro, causing a massive explosion
- Su-35 jets conducted bombing raids on Kherson, dropping five FAB-500 bombs and damaging private homes, likely in response to Ukraine establishing a foothold on the eastern bank of the Dnipro
Military aid
- The first battery of Patriot air defense systems is on combat duty in Ukraine, with the rest on the way; these can take out Russian S-300 missiles used against Ukrainian cities
- Rather than using expensive Patriots to intercept S-300s, Ukraine's priority should be hunting and destroying the S-300 launchers, according to Air Force spokesperson Yuri Ihnat
- Estonia is transferring more weapons and equipment to Ukraine, including rifles, ammunition, patrol boats, thermal scopes and medical supplies
Russian recruitment efforts
- Students at three Moscow universities received mobilization orders despite being legally exempt; it's unclear if they will actually be conscripted
- Russia has launched a major drive for volunteer recruits, with ads appealing to masculine pride and financial benefits, but is unlikely to reach its target of 400,000
- Columns of trucks carrying 20-50 Russian recruits each are reportedly heading to Luhansk, likely to bolster defensive positions ahead of expected Ukrainian counter-offensives
- In six months, Iran has delivered over 300,000 shells and a million rounds of ammunition to Russia via the Caspian Sea, a meaningful but limited amount
Other updates
- A shootout occurred between Wagner and regular Russian soldiers in Luhansk
- Russian forces are forcibly evacuating civilians from occupied Kherson, possibly in response to Ukraine establishing positions on the eastern bank of the Dnipro
- Wagner Group boss Prigozhin told his mercenaries to take no prisoners and kill everyone on the battlefield, a war crime if carried out
- Tucker Carlson has parted ways with Fox News, a possible positive for Ukraine given his Russia-appeasing stance; RT has already offered him a job
- Over 300 foreign correspondents who worked in Moscow are calling for the release of WSJ journalist Evan Gershkovich, arrested on likely false espionage charges
- Cyprus, a haven for Russian money, is taking action against sanction busters after pressure from the US/UK, freezing assets and closing accounts
- The EU reached an agreement with Ukraine to enact each other's court judgments starting in September, which could aid Ukraine's EU accession but also potentially allow Zelensky to target political opponents
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching, liking, subscribing and sharing. He's unsure if he has the energy to produce another video today after having to re-record this one. He appreciates everyone's comments and support of the channel.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No major parts of the transcript were unclear. A few minor points:
The specific location Jonathan's kid went ice skating was not mentioned
The exact connection between the EU-Ukraine court judgment agreement and Zelensky targeting opponents was not fully explained
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Extract key information for each topic discussed in the video
Organize topics into sections with appropriate subheadings
Summarize each topic concisely, including relevant details and context
Include Jonathan's insights, analysis and opinions where relevant
Use British English spelling and grammar
Bold key terms for emphasis
Include an introduction and wrap up section
Select a key quote that captures the essence of the video
Review summary to ensure all key points are covered and transcript is accurately reflected
