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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Monday, 22nd May 2023, 10:18
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"For 5% of the American defense budget and zero American military casualties, the Ukrainians' military is destroying the Russian military. And that is absolutely in American interests."

Hello Team!

  • Police activity outside Jonathan's house in a quiet neighborhood


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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Losses

  • 720 liquidated personnel, higher than usual, likely due to activity around Bakhmut and Avdiivka
  • 2 tanks, 9 APCs, 20 artillery systems, 1 MLRS
  • 1 aircraft (Su-35), 8 drones, 14 vehicles/fuel tanks, 2 special equipment
  • Increasing losses of electronic warfare and surveillance equipment


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Overnight Attacks

  • Russia launched 4 Kh-101/Kh-555, 5 Kh-22, 2 Iskander-M, 5 S-300 missiles and 20 Shahed drones
  • All 20 drones reportedly shot down, but only 4 of 16 missiles intercepted (low rate)
  • Su-35 multirole fighter conducting operations against Kherson region shot down by Ukrainian air defences over Black Sea
  • 42,000 Ukrainian civilians killed since invasion began according to US officials, 5 times higher than previous estimates


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Verified Losses

  • Oryx reporting 17 Russian losses vs 2 Ukrainian (F-103 Spartan and BMP-1 in Bakhmut)
  • Footage of Russian quadcopter kamikaze drone, not commonly seen


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Bakhmut

  • Mixed messages on whether Bakhmut has fully fallen to Russia
  • Ukrainian Land Forces chief suggests Ukrainian troops may soon encircle Bakhmut as they advance on the flanks
  • Rumours that Ukrainian commander Zaluzhny is critically ill in hospital, not heard from since May 8th
  • Russian nationalist Igor Girkin says Bakhmut battle was unnecessary and a Pyrrhic victory, with Russian forces exhausted and Ukraine poised to strike


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Surrenders and Hits

  • Mobilized Russian soldier in poor condition surrendered Pantsir-S1 air defense system for a chance at a better life
  • Hits reported in Berdyansk (4 Storm Shadow missiles, 3 AGM-160 MALD decoys), Oleshky, Makiivka, Donetsk railway station
  • Substation hit in Voronezh, Russia causing power outages
  • Administrative building in Belgorod on fire from alleged Ukrainian shelling
  • Explosion/power outages in Russian-occupied Simferopol, Crimea
  • Fire near military commissariat in Moscow


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Russian Attacks on Ukraine

  • Dnipro, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia hit
  • 8 civilians injured, fire unit destroyed, houses damaged in Dnipro
  • Explosions heard in Odesa
  • Romanian activist claims mobile hospital he was building from donations targeted and bombed by Russia


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Military Aid

  • Japan to provide around 100 vehicles and 30,000 rations to Ukraine
  • No final decision from US on F-16s, ongoing internal discussions
  • Biden quips that F-16s are a "colossal risk" for Russia
  • Ukrainian soldiers training in Spain, fostering support among Spanish armed forces


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Geopolitics

  • Macron: Peace in Ukraine cannot be a frozen conflict, must respect UN charter
  • UN Secretary General Guterres calls for reform of UN Security Council
  • Brazil's President Lula refused to meet with Zelensky at G7 despite Macron's urging
  • German police investigating mysterious illnesses of Russian activist journalists in Berlin
  • Pro-EU protests in Moldova (70,000 people), Russia trying to foment discord
  • Controversy in Georgia over relatives of sanctioned Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov entering the country for a wedding


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Wrap up

  • Apologies for the longer update and early morning brain fog
  • Thanks for watching and speak to you later


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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

Some uncertainty around the spelling of a few place names in Ukraine that I tried to correct A few parts where Jonathan went on tangents that were a bit harder to summarize concisely

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Organize the content into topics in the order they appear Include key facts, figures, analysis and opinions from Jonathan Use bullet points and bold key information Ensure all place names are spelled correctly Mention any significant quotes Check I covered all the main points and didn't miss anything major

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos