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Ukraine War Update EXTRA: Russian Propaganda, Pre-emptive Nuke Strike, US Aid, & Makiivka

Extra Tuesday, 10th January 2023, 17:30
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"It's payback time. My advice to the Khokhals, surrender. All of your sins will be frozen out in our gulags. Cleansed, you will return to our Russian world, which will melt everything down."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides extra "tidbits and nuggets" to give a greater understanding of the war in Ukraine. He is having a "ranty" day and apologises for just coming off a 2-hour live interview on the existence of heaven and hell.

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US military aid to Ukraine

  • The US has been the biggest help to Ukraine in real terms, though some countries like Poland and the Baltics have given more as a percentage of GDP
  • Without US aid, Ukraine would likely be in trouble or even occupied
  • The US has pledged or provided huge amounts of military equipment including:
    • 51 HIMARS/M270 rocket systems
    • 50 M2A2 Bradley IFVs
    • 67 M109 howitzers
    • 1300 Humvees
    • 450 MRAPs
    • 465 M113 APCs
    • 250 M1117 APCs
    • The US is also considering providing Stryker APCs


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Russia targeting humanitarian aid distribution points

  • It appears Russia is deliberately shelling known humanitarian aid distribution points in Ukraine, which is "evil and terrorism"
  • In Syria, Russia was provided coordinates of 24 hospitals and told not to hit them, but proceeded to bomb all 24
  • Russia has hit many hospitals in Ukraine, often intentionally rather than aiming for military targets nearby


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Fires in Russia

A car service warehouse in northeast Moscow went up in flames and collapsed. Jonathan notes these types of large fires seem to be happening almost daily in Russia, far more frequently than in other countries. He suggests possible explanations could be poor fire safety standards, partisan sabotage activity, or insurance fraud as the economy worsens. But the sheer frequency of these fires in Russia seems very suspicious.

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Alleged Russian soldier intercept about war crimes

An alleged intercepted call from a Russian soldier was played, but not in the video due to its disturbing content. In it, the soldier describes horrific war crimes and atrocities committed by retreating Russian troops against civilians, including rapes and murders of women. Jonathan notes the evidence of Russian torture, war crimes and brutality against Ukrainian civilians is plentiful and credible, despite Russian denials.

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Russia not publishing casualty lists from Makiivka attack

  • Russia claims it will not publish lists of soldiers killed in the Ukrainian HIMARS attack on Makiivka due to alleged "foreign intelligence provocations"
  • Ukraine claims up to 600 Russian troops were killed in the attack on a building where they were housed
  • Russia's story keeps changing, first claiming 15 injured, then 63 dead, then 89 dead plus more missing
  • Jonathan challenges pro-Russian commenters on whether they still believe Ukrainian casualty figures are propaganda in light of Russia's shifting narrative


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Russian propaganda about being "forced" into war

  • Russian propaganda claiming they are "forced" to have this war and it was "imposed" on them is increasing as they realize how badly the war is going
  • A Russian propagandist makes outrageous claims that they are "told directly the Russian Federation must be destroyed" and they have been "preparing for this for 8 years"
  • In reality, no one has called for destroying Russia, and Russia absolutely chose to launch this war of aggression


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Russian propagandists suggest pre-emptive nuclear strikes

  • Russian TV propagandists openly discussed launching pre-emptive nuclear strikes against the West
  • One pundit says NATO is at war with Russia and they should launch nuclear first strikes "in case of escalation"
  • Another says France should be nuked for providing tanks to Ukraine
  • They advocate for "huge global destruction" with no regard for consequences
  • Jonathan believes this is an attempt to normalize the idea of nuclear war to the Russian public
  • However, he thinks it remains very unlikely Putin would actually launch nukes as it would be "suicidal" and the West has privately warned him of overwhelming retaliation


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Wrap up

Jonathan shows an uplifting video of a Ukrainian soldier dancing in the snow in Bakhmut to contrast with the grim topics covered. He signs off to finally have breakfast at 2pm and thanks viewers for their support.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The name of the Russian singer propagandist was not fully clear in the transcript Some of the details about types of Russian fires and their possible causes went by very quickly and may not have been fully captured

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Watch video and read transcript carefully, taking notes on key topics and points Group related points together into topic sections Summarize each topic, being sure to capture the key information, opinions, and insights from Jonathan Include an introduction and wrap-up section Select a key quote that captures the essence of the video Review summary to ensure all major points are covered and transcript details are not missed Format summary with proper XML tags Considerations: Use British English spelling and grammar Convey Jonathan's personality, opinions, insights and expertise Clarify any names, places or details that may be ambiguous Note any parts of the transcript that are unclear

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